Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Pulling hardest the other way is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points. 68% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

At $1,702 a month, rents run 26% under what the rest of San Diego commands. Housing insecurity runs 28.6% against 14.2% nationally.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Severe burden reaches 16%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. The poverty rate is 25%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Social vulnerability reads 9.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.