Cottage Row Carlsbad Eviction Risk: Moderate

The main counterweight is economic stress at 1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

The severe-burden share is 13%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Adults with no health insurance runs 4.0% against 11.3% nationally.

Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.9% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Nationally it ranks #20,506 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.