Neighborhood · Ranked #48,083 of 84,120 nationally

Downtown Carlsbad Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 06073017809 · San Diego, CA · pop 2,359 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Census tract 06073017809 belongs to the Downtown Carlsbad neighborhood of Carlsbad, California. It is home to 2,359 residents and scores 5.6/10, a moderate reading for landlords. That is riskier than about 62% of US census tracts.

53% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 28% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $2,365 monthly, set against $114,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 25% of income at the averages. Renters make up 25% of occupied homes.

Risk score

3.6

Lower

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 13% Stable renters 12% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units894

Renter share24.6%

SVI overall0.18

Poverty rate4.5%

Median income$114,500

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region

Centroid at 33.1575, -117.3267 · click any tract to drill in

Why Downtown Carlsbad scores 3.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

4.5% poverty · this tract

1.1

Supply constraint

$2,365 rent vs county FMR

3.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from Carlsbad

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Carlsbad

7.6

Housing court bias

Inherited from Carlsbad

6.1

How Downtown Carlsbad compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 18

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

21%Socioeconomic
17%Household composition
41%Racial/ethnic minority
27%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Downtown Carlsbad. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

7.3%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
6.9%Food insecurity
6.4%SNAP enrollment
4.8%Transit barriers
3.8%No health insurance
14.5%Frequent mental distress
22.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Downtown Carlsbad

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 18th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 7.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073017809

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017809?

Census tract 06073017809 in the Downtown Carlsbad neighborhood scores 3.6/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073017809?

Median gross rent is $2,365/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017809?

4.5% of residents in tract 06073017809 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,359.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017809?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 18th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 21th, household 17th, minority 41th, housing 27th.

Is tract 06073017809 considered part of Downtown Carlsbad?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017809 fall within Downtown Carlsbad (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073017809 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073017809 compare to Carlsbad overall?

Tract 06073017809 scores 3.6/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad

Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.