Neighborhood · Carlsbad, CA

Downtown Carlsbad Eviction Risk: Moderate

4 census tracts · pop 12,638 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.6/10 · range 3.6–5.7

Downtown Carlsbad is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Carlsbad with 4 census tracts and a population of 12,638 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 58% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 34% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,317/month sits 17% lower than the Carlsbad citywide average ($2,808).

Risk score

4.6

Moderate

4 tracts · population-weighted

Downtown Carlsbad vs Carlsbad How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

57.5% +67%

Carlsbad: 34.4%

Average gross rent

$2,317 -17%

Carlsbad: $2,808

Average HH income

$87,095 -37%

Carlsbad: $139,326

Poverty rate

11.2% +61%

Carlsbad: 6.9%

Renter share

62.9% +69%

Carlsbad: 37.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown Carlsbad and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 3.6–5.7

Why Downtown Carlsbad scores 4.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

58% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

63% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Economic stress

11.2% below poverty line · Range 1.1–5.7 across tracts

2.8

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.2–3.6 across tracts

3.0

Risk score comparison

Downtown Carlsbad vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown Carlsbad?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 2.1 points from 3.6 to 5.7. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.

Tracts as heat grid

5.7 4.8 4.1 3.6

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

4 tracts in Downtown Carlsbad

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06073017902	5.7	3,089	72%	$2,397
06073017901	4.8	3,683	55%	$2,061
06073018000	4.1	3,507	51%	$2,483
06073017809	3.6	2,359	53%	$2,365

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 50

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 55%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 20%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 55%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 61%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Carlsbad

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

11.5%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
13.0%SNAP enrollment
6.6%No health insurance
26.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Downtown Carlsbad

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Carlsbad?

Downtown Carlsbad scores 4.6/10 (Moderate tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Downtown Carlsbad compare to Carlsbad overall?

Downtown Carlsbad scores 3.5 points lower than Carlsbad overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,317 vs $2,808.

What is the average rent in Downtown Carlsbad?

Average gross rent in Downtown Carlsbad eviction risk is $2,317/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Downtown Carlsbad residents are renters?

63% of Downtown Carlsbad households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 12,638 residents.

Is Downtown Carlsbad a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown Carlsbad sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Downtown Carlsbad have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Carlsbad is census tract 06073017902 (score 5.7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.6 to 5.7, a spread of 2.1 points.

How safe is Downtown Carlsbad for landlords?

Downtown Carlsbad eviction risk carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.6/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Carlsbad?

Downtown Carlsbad has 12,755 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.7%), Hispanic / Latino (28.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown Carlsbad

4.2 South Oceanside 4 tracts · pop 19,058 4.2 The Knolls of Calavera Hills 3 tracts · pop 13,024 5.1 Seaside 3 tracts · pop 7,794 3.7 Talich 3 tracts · pop 14,394 5.3 Crown Heights 4 tracts · pop 13,290 5.5 Oceana 4 tracts · pop 14,186

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carlsbad

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown Carlsbad.

3.8 Poinsettia 1 tracts · pop 6,855 3.7 Seagate 1 tracts · pop 4,654 3.7 Pavoreal 3 tracts · pop 16,455 3.5 Bressi Ranch 1 tracts · pop 5,878 3.4 Morning Ridge 1 tracts · pop 7,920 3.3 The Cove 1 tracts · pop 6,504

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