4 census tracts · pop 12,638 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.5/10
· range 6.3–8.6
Downtown Carlsbad spans 4 census tracts of Carlsbad, CA and houses 12,638 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 7.5/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. Cost burden runs 58% against 34.4% citywide, putting Downtown Carlsbad 23.1% over its own city.
34% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Internally this is not one market. Tract scores span 6.3 to 8.6, so two buildings inside the same boundary can carry materially different risk. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. Average gross rent is $2,317, 17% below the Carlsbad average of $2,808. On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.8/10.
That places it #2 of 13 neighborhoods in Carlsbad. For a like-for-like read, Poinsettia and Pavoreal score within a fraction of it. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $87,095.
63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.
Risk score
7.5
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown Carlsbad vs CarlsbadHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport61%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown Carlsbad
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
11.5%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility shutoff threat
12.5%Food insecurity
13.0%SNAP enrollment
6.6%No health insurance
26.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Downtown Carlsbad
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown Carlsbad?
Downtown Carlsbad scores 7.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Downtown Carlsbad compare to Carlsbad overall?
Downtown Carlsbad scores 0.3 points higher than Carlsbad overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 58% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,317 vs $2,808.
Q3
What is the average rent in Downtown Carlsbad?
Average gross rent in Downtown Carlsbad eviction risk is $2,317/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Downtown Carlsbad residents are renters?
63% of Downtown Carlsbad households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 12,638 residents.
Q5
Is Downtown Carlsbad a high social-vulnerability area?
Downtown Carlsbad sits in the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Downtown Carlsbad have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown Carlsbad is census tract 06073017902 (score 8.6/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.3 to 8.6, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7
How safe is Downtown Carlsbad for landlords?
Downtown Carlsbad eviction risk carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.5/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown Carlsbad?
Downtown Carlsbad has 12,755 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.7%), Hispanic / Latino (28.3%), Other / Multiracial (5.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
