3 census tracts · pop 16,455 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.5/10
· range 5.8–6.7
Pavoreal is a 3-tract neighborhood of Carlsbad, CA, population 16,455. Scored across those inputs it reaches 6.5/10, placing it in the Elevated tier. 57% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, far above the Carlsbad rate of 34.4%.
Severe burden reaches 31%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.5/10. Food insecurity affects 8.7% of adults, 9.1 points below the national rate.
4.4% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Average gross rent is $2,490, 11% below the Carlsbad average of $2,808. Among the 13 mapped neighborhoods of Carlsbad, it ranks #3 by risk, the upper third.
For a like-for-like read, Poinsettia and Seagate score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 19% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.
The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.9 points apart at the extremes.
The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
6.5
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Pavoreal vs CarlsbadHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority55%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport43%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Pavoreal
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
8.8%Housing insecurity
4.5%Utility shutoff threat
9.4%Food insecurity
8.9%SNAP enrollment
4.6%No health insurance
23.4%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Pavoreal
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Pavoreal?
Pavoreal scores 6.5/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Pavoreal compare to Carlsbad overall?
Pavoreal scores 0.7 points lower than Carlsbad overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 57% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,490 vs $2,808.
Q3
What is the average rent in Pavoreal?
Average gross rent in Pavoreal is $2,490/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 57% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Pavoreal residents are renters?
29% of Pavoreal households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 16,455 residents.
Q5
Is Pavoreal a high social-vulnerability area?
Pavoreal sits in the 43rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Pavoreal have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Pavoreal is census tract 06073020033 (score 6.7/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 5.8 to 6.7, a spread of 0.9 points.
Q7
How safe is Pavoreal for landlords?
Pavoreal carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.5/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Pavoreal?
Pavoreal has 16,074 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (60.1%), Hispanic / Latino (18.6%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (12.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
