Pavoreal Eviction Risk: Moderate , Carlsbad

It sits 1.8 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.1/10.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. SNAP participation runs 5.5% against 15.2% nationally. Severe burden reaches 10%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Housing insecurity runs 6.3% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 76th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 12% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 2%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Rent takes 30% or more of income for about half of renters.

Average gross rent is $2,656, close to the Carlsbad average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.