Seagate Eviction Risk: Elevated , Carlsbad

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 25% above the Carlsbad average. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.3 points.

Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 7.0% against 14.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

On the national scale it lands near the 80th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 3.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.