Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally
Seagate Eviction Risk: Lower , Carlsbad
Tract 06073017813 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,654 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 06073017813, home to 4,654 residents in Seagate in Carlsbad, scores $1/10 for landlord eviction risk. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 55% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $3,501 monthly, set against $132,299 in average yearly household income, roughly 32% of income at the averages. Renters make up 35% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,669
Renter share35.2%
SVI overall0.31
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$132,299
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
64
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
17
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
18
th percentile
Very Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Carlsbad and the region
Centroid at 33.1166, -117.3234 · click any tract to drill in
Why Seagate scores 3.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
7.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Carlsbad
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Carlsbad
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Carlsbad
6.1
How Seagate compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 31
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 25%Socioeconomic
- 49%Household composition
- 41%Racial/ethnic minority
- 36%Housing & transportation
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.0%Housing insecurity
- 3.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.1%Food insecurity
- 6.9%SNAP enrollment
- 4.7%Transit barriers
- 3.5%No health insurance
- 13.7%Frequent mental distress
- 25.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Seagate
What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 8.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the San Diego County average of 5.8 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.
In CDC survey modeling, about 7.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.8% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073017813
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017813?
Census tract 06073017813 in the Seagate neighborhood scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073017813?
Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017813?
10.1% of residents in tract 06073017813 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,654.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017813?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 31th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 25th, household 49th, minority 41th, housing 36th.
Q5
Is tract 06073017813 considered part of Seagate?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017813 fall within Seagate (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073017813 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073017813 compare to Carlsbad overall?
Tract 06073017813 scores 3.7/10, lower than the parent city of Carlsbad at 8.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Carlsbad eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Carlsbad
Top eight tracts in Carlsbad ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
4.8
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
The Knolls of Calavera Hills
4.3
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Downtown Carlsbad
4.1
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
3.9
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
Pavoreal
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
Poinsettia
3.8
/ 10 · Low
Tract · CA
South Oceanside
3.8
/ 10 · Low
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