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Neighborhood · Carlsbad, CA

Seagate Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,654 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 6.3–6.3

Seagate maps to a single census tract in Carlsbad, CA, population 4,654. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Carlsbad baseline of 34.4%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.

At $3,501 a month, rents sit 25% over what the rest of Carlsbad commands. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.5/10. 3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation is 6.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #4 of 13 neighborhoods in Carlsbad. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $132,299. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 6.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Seagate vs Carlsbad How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.6% +59%
Carlsbad: 34.4%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +25%
Carlsbad: $2,808
Average HH income
$132,299 -5%
Carlsbad: $139,326
Poverty rate
10.1% +46%
Carlsbad: 6.9%
Renter share
35.2% -5%
Carlsbad: 37.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seagate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.3–6.3

Why Seagate scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
10.1% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

Seagate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Seagate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.6.3SeagateNeighborhood7.2Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Seagate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕ Score↕ Pop↕ % over 30% on rent↕ Average rent↕
06073017813 6.3 4,654 55% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 25%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seagate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Seagate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Seagate?

Seagate scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Seagate compare to Carlsbad overall?

Seagate scores 0.9 points lower than Carlsbad overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,808.
Q3

What is the average rent in Seagate?

Average gross rent in Seagate is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Seagate residents are renters?

35% of Seagate households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 4,654 residents.
Q5

Is Seagate a high social-vulnerability area?

Seagate sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Seagate for landlords?

Seagate carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Seagate?

Seagate has 4,551 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.5%), Hispanic / Latino (16.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seagate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carlsbad

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seagate.

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