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Neighborhood · Carlsbad, CA

Seagate Eviction Risk: Elevated

1 census tracts · pop 4,654 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.3/10 · range 6.3–6.3

Seagate maps to a single census tract in Carlsbad, CA, population 4,654. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.3/10, in the Elevated tier. Against a Carlsbad baseline of 34.4%, 55% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The severe-burden share is 25%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. What pushes the score up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.

At $3,501 a month, rents sit 25% over what the rest of Carlsbad commands. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running hot is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

On the softer side is economic stress, at 2.5/10. 3.8% of adults report being unable to pay a utility bill, below a 9.2% national figure. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. SNAP participation is 6.9% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

That places it #4 of 13 neighborhoods in Carlsbad. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $132,299. 35% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

One tract means one number: 6.3/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.3
Elevated
1 tracts · population-weighted
Seagate vs Carlsbad How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
54.6% +59%
Carlsbad: 34.4%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +25%
Carlsbad: $2,808
Average HH income
$132,299 -5%
Carlsbad: $139,326
Poverty rate
10.1% +46%
Carlsbad: 6.9%
Renter share
35.2% -5%
Carlsbad: 37.1%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seagate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 6.3–6.3

Why Seagate scores 6.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
55% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
35% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Economic stress
10.1% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts
7.2
Risk score comparison

Seagate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Seagate score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Seagate: 6.36.3SeagateNeighborhoodParent city: 7.27.2Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Seagate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073017813 6.3 4,654 55% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 25%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 49%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 36%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seagate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Seagate

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Seagate?

Seagate scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Seagate compare to Carlsbad overall?

Seagate scores 0.9 points lower than Carlsbad overall (7.2/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,808.
Q3

What is the average rent in Seagate?

Average gross rent in Seagate is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Seagate residents are renters?

35% of Seagate households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 4,654 residents.
Q5

Is Seagate a high social-vulnerability area?

Seagate sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Seagate for landlords?

Seagate carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (7.2/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Seagate?

Seagate has 4,551 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.5%), Hispanic / Latino (16.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seagate

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carlsbad

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seagate.

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