Neighborhood · Carlsbad, CA

Seagate Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 4,654 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.7/10 · range 3.7–3.7

Seagate is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Carlsbad with 1 census tract and a population of 4,654 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.7/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 55% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 25% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $3,501/month sits 25% higher than the Carlsbad citywide average ($2,808).

Risk score

3.7

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Seagate vs Carlsbad How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

54.6% +59%

Carlsbad: 34.4%

Average gross rent

$3,501 +25%

Carlsbad: $2,808

Average HH income

$132,299 -5%

Carlsbad: $139,326

Poverty rate

10.1% +46%

Carlsbad: 6.9%

Renter share

35.2% -5%

Carlsbad: 37.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Seagate and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.7–3.7

Why Seagate scores 3.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

55% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

35% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Economic stress

10.1% below poverty line · Range 2.5–2.5 across tracts

2.5

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Risk score comparison

Seagate vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Seagate

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06073017813	3.7	4,654	55%	$3,501

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 31

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 25%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 49%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 41%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 36%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Seagate

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

7.0%Housing insecurity
3.8%Utility shutoff threat
7.1%Food insecurity
6.9%SNAP enrollment
3.5%No health insurance
25.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Seagate

What is the eviction-risk score for Seagate?

Seagate scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Seagate compare to Carlsbad overall?

Seagate scores 4.4 points lower than Carlsbad overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $2,808.

What is the average rent in Seagate?

Average gross rent in Seagate is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Seagate residents are renters?

35% of Seagate households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 4,654 residents.

Is Seagate a high social-vulnerability area?

Seagate sits in the 31st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Seagate for landlords?

Seagate carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.7/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Seagate?

Seagate has 4,551 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (72.5%), Hispanic / Latino (16.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (5.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Seagate

4.6 Downtown Carlsbad 4 tracts · pop 12,638 3.6 Pavoreal 3 tracts · pop 16,455 4.2 South Oceanside 4 tracts · pop 19,058 4.2 The Knolls of Calavera Hills 3 tracts · pop 13,024 3.5 Manzanita Cove 8 tracts · pop 27,346 3.7 Ocean Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,874

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carlsbad

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Seagate.

3.7 Pavoreal 3 tracts · pop 16,455 3.8 Poinsettia 1 tracts · pop 6,855 3.5 Bressi Ranch 1 tracts · pop 5,878 3.4 Morning Ridge 1 tracts · pop 7,920 3.3 The Cove 1 tracts · pop 6,504 3.2 Cottage Row Carlsbad 1 tracts · pop 2,214

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