Neighborhood · Chula Vista, CA

Montecito Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 10,431 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.4/10 · range 3.4–5.1

Montecito is a hispanic-asian neighborhood in Chula Vista with 2 census tracts and a population of 10,431 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 68% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 22% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,808/month sits 26% higher than the Chula Vista citywide average ($2,229).

Risk score

4.4

Moderate

2 tracts · population-weighted

Montecito vs Chula Vista How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

68.0% +92%

Chula Vista: 35.4%

Average gross rent

$2,808 +26%

Chula Vista: $2,229

Average HH income

$123,002 +17%

Chula Vista: $105,173

Poverty rate

7.7% -9%

Chula Vista: 8.4%

Renter share

43.8% +9%

Chula Vista: 40.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Montecito and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.4–5.1

Why Montecito scores 4.4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

68% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

44% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Economic stress

7.7% below poverty line · Range 1.0–3.2 across tracts

2.3

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 4.6–4.8 across tracts

4.7

Risk score comparison

Montecito vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

2 tracts in Montecito

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06073013325	5.1	6,074	61%	$2,833
06073013326	3.4	4,357	78%	$2,772

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 44

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 38%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 44%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 92%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 44%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Montecito

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

15.0%Housing insecurity
6.7%Utility shutoff threat
17.3%Food insecurity
14.1%SNAP enrollment
9.3%No health insurance
24.2%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Montecito

What is the eviction-risk score for Montecito?

Montecito scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Montecito compare to Chula Vista overall?

Montecito scores 3.9 points lower than Chula Vista overall (8.3/10). Renters spend 68% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,808 vs $2,229.

What is the average rent in Montecito?

Average gross rent in Montecito is $2,808/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 68% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Montecito residents are renters?

44% of Montecito households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Chula Vista). The neighborhood has 10,431 residents.

Is Montecito a high social-vulnerability area?

Montecito sits in the 44th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Montecito have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Montecito is census tract 06073013325 (score 5.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.4 to 5.1, a spread of 1.7 points.

How safe is Montecito for landlords?

Montecito carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chula Vista as a whole (8.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Montecito?

Montecito has 9,624 residents (Hispanic-Asian Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (49.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (23.5%), Black (non-Hispanic) (14.7%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Montecito

3.8 Rancho del Rey 4 tracts · pop 20,693 3.4 Hillsborough 3 tracts · pop 14,903 3.9 Cockatoo Grove 4 tracts · pop 18,120 4.6 Parkview 2 tracts · pop 6,876 4.2 Lynwood Hills 4 tracts · pop 19,043 5.3 Ocean View Hills 4 tracts · pop 21,704

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chula Vista

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Montecito.

4.7 Parkview 2 tracts · pop 6,876 4.1 Lynwood Hills 4 tracts · pop 19,043 4.8 Castle Park 6 tracts · pop 33,612 4 Cockatoo Grove 4 tracts · pop 18,120 3.7 Rancho del Rey 4 tracts · pop 20,693 3.6 Eastlake 1 tracts · pop 2,075

Zoom out