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Neighborhood · Chula Vista, CA

Rancho del Rey Eviction Risk: Elevated

4 census tracts · pop 20,693 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 6.6–7

Rancho del Rey takes in 4 census tracts of Chula Vista, CA and houses 20,693 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 6.7/10, in the Elevated tier. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10.

Severe burden reaches 20%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Average gross rent is $1,677, 25% below the Chula Vista average of $2,229.

On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2/10.

around a third of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent. Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Chula Vista, it ranks #11 by risk, the lower third.

For a like-for-like read, Lynwood Hills and Eastlake Greens score within a fraction of it. Rent takes 14% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market.

The 4 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.4 points apart at the extremes. 30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
4 tracts · population-weighted
Rancho del Rey vs Chula Vista How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
33.1% -6%
Chula Vista: 35.4%
Average gross rent
$1,677 -25%
Chula Vista: $2,229
Average HH income
$141,591 +35%
Chula Vista: $105,173
Poverty rate
7.9% -6%
Chula Vista: 8.4%
Renter share
30.1% -25%
Chula Vista: 40.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Rancho del Rey and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 4 tracts span score 6.6–7

Why Rancho del Rey scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
33% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
30% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
7.9% below poverty line · Range 1.7–2.3 across tracts
2.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.2–5.0 across tracts
4.3
Risk score comparison

Rancho del Rey vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Rancho del Rey score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Rancho del Rey: 6.76.7Rancho del ReyNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Rancho del Rey?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.4 points from 6.6 to 7. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

4 tracts in Rancho del Rey

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073013420 7 3,159 63% $2,874
06073013327 6.8 6,270 39% $2,359
06073013414 6.6 7,256 14%
06073013421 6.6 4,008 36% $2,704
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 40

Pop-weighted across 4 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 27%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 31%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 51%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Rancho del Rey

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Rancho del Rey

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Rancho del Rey?

Rancho del Rey scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 4 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Rancho del Rey compare to Chula Vista overall?

Rancho del Rey scores 1.1 points lower than Chula Vista overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 33% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,677 vs $2,229.
Q3

What is the average rent in Rancho del Rey?

Average gross rent in Rancho del Rey is $1,677/month (pop-weighted across 4 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 33% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Rancho del Rey residents are renters?

30% of Rancho del Rey households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Chula Vista). The neighborhood has 20,693 residents.
Q5

Is Rancho del Rey a high social-vulnerability area?

Rancho del Rey sits in the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Rancho del Rey have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Rancho del Rey is census tract 06073013420 (score 7/10). Across the 4 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.6 to 7, a spread of 0.4 points.
Q7

How safe is Rancho del Rey for landlords?

Rancho del Rey carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 4 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chula Vista as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Rancho del Rey?

Rancho del Rey has 20,756 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (53.5%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (25.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (14.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Rancho del Rey

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chula Vista

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Rancho del Rey.

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