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Neighborhood · Chula Vista, CA

Sunny Vista Eviction Risk: High

7 census tracts · pop 27,368 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.6/10 · range 7.9–9.2

Sunny Vista spans 7 census tracts of Chula Vista, CA, population 27,368. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.6/10, in the High tier. Against a Chula Vista baseline of 35.4%, 63% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

29% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Pulling the other way is supply constraint, at 1.5/10.

Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 7.8/10. Scores across the 7 constituent tracts range from 7.9 to 9.2. A 1.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10.

At $1,881 a month, rents sit 16% under what the rest of Chula Vista commands. That places it #6 of 16 neighborhoods in Chula Vista.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Otay and Boal. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $71,383. 63% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 8.6 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
8.6
High
7 tracts · population-weighted
Sunny Vista vs Chula Vista How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
63.2% +79%
Chula Vista: 35.4%
Average gross rent
$1,881 -16%
Chula Vista: $2,229
Average HH income
$71,383 -32%
Chula Vista: $105,173
Poverty rate
13.1% +56%
Chula Vista: 8.4%
Renter share
62.5% +56%
Chula Vista: 40.2%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sunny Vista and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 7 tracts span score 7.9–9.2

Why Sunny Vista scores 8.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
63% of income on rent · Range 6.1–8.1 across tracts
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.5–6.9 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
63% renter households · Range 4.5–8.1 across tracts
7.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.7–6.3 across tracts
6.2
Economic stress
13.1% below poverty line · Range 1.8–4.7 across tracts
3.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–2.8 across tracts
1.5
Risk score comparison

Sunny Vista vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Sunny Vista score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Sunny Vista: 8.68.6Sunny VistaNeighborhoodParent city: 7.87.8Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Sunny Vista?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.3 points from 7.9 to 9.2. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

7 tracts in Sunny Vista

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073012402 9.2 5,730 61% $1,707
06073012302 9.2 1,606 57% $1,720
06073012700 9 4,990 55% $1,725
06073012303 8.6 3,396 72% $2,192
06073012200 8.4 3,606 72% $1,796
06073012304 8 4,254 58% $2,255
06073012800 7.9 3,786 70% $1,802
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 89

Pop-weighted across 7 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 87%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 85%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 81%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Sunny Vista

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Sunny Vista

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Sunny Vista?

Sunny Vista scores 8.6/10 (High tier) across 7 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Sunny Vista compare to Chula Vista overall?

Sunny Vista scores 0.8 points higher than Chula Vista overall (7.8/10). Renters spend 63% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $1,881 vs $2,229.
Q3

What is the average rent in Sunny Vista?

Average gross rent in Sunny Vista is $1,881/month (pop-weighted across 7 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 63% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Sunny Vista residents are renters?

63% of Sunny Vista households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Chula Vista). The neighborhood has 27,368 residents.
Q5

Is Sunny Vista a high social-vulnerability area?

Sunny Vista sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Sunny Vista have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Sunny Vista is census tract 06073012402 (score 9.2/10). Across the 7 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7.9 to 9.2, a spread of 1.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Sunny Vista for landlords?

Sunny Vista carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.6/10). Pop-weighted across 7 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chula Vista as a whole (7.8/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Sunny Vista?

Sunny Vista has 27,289 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (66.8%), White (non-Hispanic) (19.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (6.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Sunny Vista

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chula Vista

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Sunny Vista.

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