Castle Park Eviction Risk: High

Severe burden reaches 29%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. The 6 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 7.2 to 9.2, a 2-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 8.1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.1/10. Running cool is economic stress, at 2.1/10.

Among the 16 mapped neighborhoods of Chula Vista, it ranks #7 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Parkview and Montecito.

Social vulnerability runs high at 7.9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $2,123, close to the Chula Vista average. Annual rent works out to 31% of average household income of $81,579.

50% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.