Neighborhood · Chula Vista, CA

Castle Park Eviction Risk: Moderate

6 census tracts · pop 33,612 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.8/10 · range 4.1–5.6

Castle Park is a hispanic / latino neighborhood in Chula Vista with 6 census tracts and a population of 33,612 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 62% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 29% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,123/month sits 5% lower than the Chula Vista citywide average ($2,229).

Risk score

4.8

Moderate

6 tracts · population-weighted

Castle Park vs Chula Vista How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

61.9% +75%

Chula Vista: 35.4%

Average gross rent

$2,123 -5%

Chula Vista: $2,229

Average HH income

$81,579 -22%

Chula Vista: $105,173

Poverty rate

8.6% +2%

Chula Vista: 8.4%

Renter share

49.5% +23%

Chula Vista: 40.2%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Park and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 6 tracts span score 4.1–5.6

Why Castle Park scores 4.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

62% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Tenant organizing strength

50% renter households · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts

6.3

Economic stress

8.6% below poverty line · Range 1.4–3.1 across tracts

2.1

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–4.0 across tracts

2.4

Risk score comparison

Castle Park vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Castle Park?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution

0246810

Spread of 1.5 points from 4.1 to 5.6. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.

Tracts as heat grid

5.6 5.2 4.8 4.3 4.2 4.1

Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.

Census tracts

6 tracts in Castle Park

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06073013203	5.6	6,002	60%	$1,642
06073013102	5.2	6,909	77%	$2,096
06073013303	4.8	4,916	65%	$2,005
06073013302	4.3	7,134	58%	$2,163
06073013301	4.2	5,277	51%	$2,461
06073012900	4.1	3,374	56%	$2,590

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 77

Pop-weighted across 6 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 73%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 76%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 87%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 64%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Castle Park

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

20.6%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility shutoff threat
23.9%Food insecurity
20.3%SNAP enrollment
16.5%No health insurance
32.4%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Castle Park

What is the eviction-risk score for Castle Park?

Castle Park scores 4.8/10 (Moderate tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Castle Park compare to Chula Vista overall?

Castle Park scores 3.5 points lower than Chula Vista overall (8.3/10). Renters spend 62% of income on rent vs 35% citywide. Average rent: $2,123 vs $2,229.

What is the average rent in Castle Park?

Average gross rent in Castle Park is $2,123/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Castle Park residents are renters?

50% of Castle Park households are renter-occupied (vs 40% in Chula Vista). The neighborhood has 33,612 residents.

Is Castle Park a high social-vulnerability area?

Castle Park sits in the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

Which tracts in Castle Park have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Castle Park is census tract 06073013203 (score 5.6/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.1 to 5.6, a spread of 1.5 points.

How safe is Castle Park for landlords?

Castle Park carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.8/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Chula Vista as a whole (8.3/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Castle Park?

Castle Park has 33,111 residents (Hispanic / Latino Neighborhood). Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (73.5%), White (non-Hispanic) (16.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Castle Park

5.6 Otay 7 tracts · pop 33,303 4.2 Lynwood Hills 4 tracts · pop 19,043 4.6 Parkview 2 tracts · pop 6,876 5.6 Boal 4 tracts · pop 17,180 5.5 Sunny Vista 7 tracts · pop 27,368 6.6 Fruitdale 2 tracts · pop 9,090

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Chula Vista

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Castle Park.

4.7 Parkview 2 tracts · pop 6,876 4.4 Montecito 2 tracts · pop 10,431 5.5 Sunny Vista 7 tracts · pop 27,368 5.5 Harbor Side 1 tracts · pop 5,765 4.1 Lynwood Hills 4 tracts · pop 19,043 5.6 Boal 4 tracts · pop 17,180

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