Azure Vista Eviction Risk: Elevated , San Diego

28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is economic stress at 1.1/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10. The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Food insecurity runs 7.6% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 6.3% against 15.2% nationally. This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. At 16% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 1.5/10. Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

56% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.