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Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073002710 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,603 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 9.9/10, tract 06073002710 in the Little Mogadishu area of San Diego, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 40%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
9.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45% Stable renters 33% Owners 22%
Tract context
Occupied units1,092
Renter share78.3%
SVI overall0.97
Poverty rate18.8%
Median income$58,636

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 14 tracts In Little Mogadishu
Very High
Within parent city
97 th percentile
Rank, 97th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 328 tracts In San Diego
Very High
Within county
92 th percentile
Rank, 92nd percentileLowHigh
#63 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very High
Within state
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7439, -117.0845 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Mogadishu scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Diego
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.8% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,564 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Diego
8.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Diego
7.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Diego
7.5

How Little Mogadishu compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Little Mogadishu risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.99.9This tracttract 002710San Diego: 8.68.6San Diegoparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 97

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Mogadishu. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Mogadishu

The main counterweight is supply constraint at 1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.3 points.

This is renter territory: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. Average gross rent is $1,564, 32% below the San Diego average.

SNAP participation runs 32.0% against 15.2% nationally. Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $58,636, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Housing insecurity runs 24.9% against 14.2% nationally. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the San Diego County average of 52.5%. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 100th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073002710

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073002710?

Census tract 06073002710 in the Little Mogadishu neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073002710?

Median gross rent is $1,564/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073002710?

18.8% of residents in tract 06073002710 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,603.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073002710?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 97th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 86th, minority 88th, housing 90th.
Q5

Is tract 06073002710 considered part of Little Mogadishu?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073002710 fall within Little Mogadishu (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073002710 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073002710 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073002710 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06073002710 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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