Neighborhood · Ranked #1 of 84,120 nationally

Little Mogadishu Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073002804 · San Diego, CA · pop 5,598 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

06073002804 is a census tract in the Little Mogadishu area of San Diego, CA. It scores 9.9/10 for landlords. It is home to 5,598 residents. Severe burden reaches 42%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

9.9

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 12% Owners 64%

Tract context

Occupied units1,545

Renter share36.0%

SVI overall0.56

Poverty rate24.7%

Median income$88,156

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.7647, -117.0739 · click any tract to drill in

Why Little Mogadishu scores 9.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

24.7% poverty · this tract

6.2

Supply constraint

$2,143 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Little Mogadishu compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 56

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
60%Racial/ethnic minority
79%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

25%Grade A
20%Grade B
0%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Little Mogadishu. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

13.1%Housing insecurity
6.9%Utility-shutoff threat
15.8%Food insecurity
15.2%SNAP enrollment
10.3%Transit barriers
6.7%No health insurance
20.8%Frequent mental distress
28.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Little Mogadishu

Cost burden runs 66% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. It sits 2.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.4/10.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #1 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the least pressured. Average gross rent is $2,143, close to the San Diego average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073002804

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073002804?

Census tract 06073002804 in the Little Mogadishu neighborhood scores 9.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073002804?

Median gross rent is $2,143/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 66% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073002804?

24.7% of residents in tract 06073002804 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,598.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073002804?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 56th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 5th, minority 60th, housing 79th.

Is tract 06073002804 considered part of Little Mogadishu?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073002804 fall within Little Mogadishu (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073002804 struggle to pay rent?

About 13.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073002804 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073002804 scores 9.9/10, higher than the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073002804 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.