Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

Valencia Park Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

Tract 06073003101 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,076 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

Census tract 06073003101 covers part of the Valencia Park area of San Diego, CA, and scores 8.7/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,076 residents. 83% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the San Diego County average of 52.5%.

Risk score

8.7

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 21% Stable renters 4% Owners 75%

Tract context

Occupied units1,028

Renter share25.5%

SVI overall0.64

Poverty rate8.6%

Median income$88,229

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Diego and the region

Centroid at 32.6994, -117.0801 · click any tract to drill in

Why Valencia Park scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

8.6% poverty · this tract

2.1

Supply constraint

$2,114 rent vs county FMR

2.3

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Diego

8.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Diego

7.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Diego

7.5

How Valencia Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

69%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
94%Racial/ethnic minority
32%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: D: Hazardous (Redlined)

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade D meant Black, immigrant, and poor neighborhoods systematically denied mortgage credit. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
0%Grade B
0%Grade C
99%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Valencia Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.4%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility-shutoff threat
24.3%Food insecurity
22.3%SNAP enrollment
12.1%Transit barriers
13.5%No health insurance
17.4%Frequent mental distress
31.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Valencia Park

The severe-burden share is 33%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 2.1/10. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.1 points. Housing insecurity runs 21.4% against 14.2% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 22.3% against 15.2% nationally. At $2,114 a month, rents run 9% under what the rest of San Diego commands. This ground was mapped D ("Hazardous") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Diego. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

Nationally it ranks #4,888 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 6.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $88,229. 25% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073003101

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073003101?

Census tract 06073003101 in the Valencia Park neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073003101?

Median gross rent is $2,114/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 83% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073003101?

8.6% of residents in tract 06073003101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,076.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073003101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 58th, minority 94th, housing 32th.

Is tract 06073003101 considered part of Valencia Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073003101 fall within Valencia Park (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073003101 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073003101 compare to San Diego overall?

Tract 06073003101 scores 8.7/10, right in line with the parent city of San Diego at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Diego eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06073003101 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of D. 99% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Diego

Top eight tracts in San Diego ranked by composite eviction-risk score.