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Neighborhood · Escondido, CA

Los Arboles Eviction Risk: High

5 census tracts · pop 26,153 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.6/10 · range 6.7–9

Los Arboles takes in 5 census tracts of Escondido, CA, population 26,153. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 8.6/10, High tier. Against a Escondido baseline of 36.5%, 54% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

What pushes the score up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Severe burden reaches 26%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.

Scores across the 5 constituent tracts range from 6.7 to 9. A 2.3-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Running cool is supply constraint, at 1.8/10.

SNAP participation is 27.6% of households versus 15.2% nationally. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 23.0% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 16%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. That places it #3 of 5 neighborhoods in Escondido.

The closest comparables inside the same city are Mission Park and Downtown. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.8/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Average gross rent runs $1,949, close to the Escondido average.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.3 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
8.6
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
Los Arboles vs Escondido How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.9% +48%
Escondido: 36.5%
Average gross rent
$1,949 -5%
Escondido: $2,046
Average HH income
$73,451 -13%
Escondido: $84,477
Poverty rate
16.1% +20%
Escondido: 13.4%
Renter share
58.3% +25%
Escondido: 46.6%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Los Arboles and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 6.7–9

Why Los Arboles scores 8.6

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
54% of income on rent · Range 8.8–8.8 across tracts
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.3–6.3 across tracts
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
58% renter households · Range 9.0–9.0 across tracts
9.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts
7.6
Economic stress
16.1% below poverty line · Range 2.0–5.3 across tracts
4.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.9 across tracts
1.8
Risk score comparison

Los Arboles vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Los Arboles score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Los Arboles: 8.68.6Los ArbolesNeighborhoodParent city: 7.67.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Los Arboles?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.3 points from 6.7 to 9. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Los Arboles

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073020602 9 6,045 64% $1,876
06073020211 9 5,778 62% $1,970
06073020207 9 5,078 55% $1,779
06073020209 9 4,621 55% $1,601
06073020705 6.7 4,631 28% $2,551
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 87

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 82%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 72%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 80%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 89%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Los Arboles

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Los Arboles

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Los Arboles?

Los Arboles scores 8.6/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Los Arboles compare to Escondido overall?

Los Arboles scores 1.0 points higher than Escondido overall (7.6/10). Renters spend 54% of income on rent vs 37% citywide. Average rent: $1,949 vs $2,046.
Q3

What is the average rent in Los Arboles?

Average gross rent in Los Arboles is $1,949/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 54% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Los Arboles residents are renters?

58% of Los Arboles households are renter-occupied (vs 47% in Escondido). The neighborhood has 26,153 residents.
Q5

Is Los Arboles a high social-vulnerability area?

Los Arboles sits in the 87th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Los Arboles have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Los Arboles is census tract 06073020602 (score 9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.7 to 9, a spread of 2.3 points.
Q7

How safe is Los Arboles for landlords?

Los Arboles carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.6/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Escondido as a whole (7.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Los Arboles?

Los Arboles has 26,716 residents. Top groups: Hispanic / Latino (62.7%), White (non-Hispanic) (25.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (4.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Los Arboles

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Escondido

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Los Arboles.

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