Mission Park Eviction Risk: High

32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

Annualized rent equals 35% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.

Scores across the 6 constituent tracts range from 7.4 to 9. A 1.6-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 24.9% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Running cool is supply constraint, at 2.1/10. SNAP participation is 27.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally.

The poverty rate is 17%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. That places it #5 of 5 neighborhoods in Escondido. Social vulnerability runs high at 8.6/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.

Average gross rent runs $2,034, close to the Escondido average. 58% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.6 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.