Valencia Park Eviction Risk: High , San Diego

The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1/10. It sits 2.3 points above the San Diego County average of 7.6.

Average gross rent is $1,575, 32% below the San Diego average. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8/10.

SNAP participation runs 28.0% against 15.2% nationally. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 8/10.

Food insecurity runs 29.7% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 20%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Cost burden runs 47% here against 52.5% across San Diego County. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

That is riskier than roughly 100% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 2.4 points hotter.

Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured. Annual rent works out to 26% of average household income of $72,773.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.