Neighborhood · Carlsbad, CA

Poinsettia Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 6,855 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.8/10 · range 3.8–3.8

Poinsettia is a white-hispanic neighborhood in Carlsbad with 1 census tract and a population of 6,855 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.8/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 16% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $2,321/month sits 17% lower than the Carlsbad citywide average ($2,808).

Risk score

3.8

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Poinsettia vs Carlsbad How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

52.9% +54%

Carlsbad: 34.4%

Average gross rent

$2,321 -17%

Carlsbad: $2,808

Average HH income

$119,681 -14%

Carlsbad: $139,326

Poverty rate

9.4% +35%

Carlsbad: 6.9%

Renter share

31.8% -14%

Carlsbad: 37.1%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poinsettia and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.8–3.8

Why Poinsettia scores 3.8

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts

6.8

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts

6.5

Rent control risk

53% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts

8.1

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

32% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts

6.1

Economic stress

9.4% below poverty line · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts

2.4

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–3.1 across tracts

3.1

Risk score comparison

Poinsettia vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Poinsettia

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
06073020031	3.8	6,855	53%	$2,321

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 53

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 57%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 68%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 47%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 34%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Poinsettia

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

8.7%Housing insecurity
4.6%Utility shutoff threat
9.2%Food insecurity
8.7%SNAP enrollment
4.4%No health insurance
23.1%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Poinsettia

What is the eviction-risk score for Poinsettia?

Poinsettia scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Poinsettia compare to Carlsbad overall?

Poinsettia scores 4.3 points lower than Carlsbad overall (8.1/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,321 vs $2,808.

What is the average rent in Poinsettia?

Average gross rent in Poinsettia is $2,321/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Poinsettia residents are renters?

32% of Poinsettia households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in Carlsbad). The neighborhood has 6,855 residents.

Is Poinsettia a high social-vulnerability area?

Poinsettia sits in the 53rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Poinsettia for landlords?

Poinsettia carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.8/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Carlsbad as a whole (8.1/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Poinsettia?

Poinsettia has 6,575 residents (White-Hispanic Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (59.5%), Hispanic / Latino (31.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (7.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Poinsettia

3.6 Pavoreal 3 tracts · pop 16,455 4 San Elijo Hills 3 tracts · pop 15,634 3.2 La Costa 4 tracts · pop 20,983 5.2 Soltaire 4 tracts · pop 16,204 3.7 Ocean Hills 2 tracts · pop 8,874 4.8 Hannalei Hills 5 tracts · pop 25,631

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Carlsbad

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Poinsettia.

3.7 Pavoreal 3 tracts · pop 16,455 3.7 Seagate 1 tracts · pop 4,654 3.5 Bressi Ranch 1 tracts · pop 5,878 3.4 Morning Ridge 1 tracts · pop 7,920 3.3 The Cove 1 tracts · pop 6,504 3.2 Cottage Row Carlsbad 1 tracts · pop 2,214

Zoom out