Neighborhood · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally

Holland Eviction Risk: Moderate , Poway

Tract 06073017040 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,456 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 06073017040 covers part of the Holland area of Poway, CA, and scores 5.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,456 residents. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score

5.2

Moderate

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 6% Stable renters 2% Owners 92%

Tract context

Occupied units1,499

Renter share8.4%

SVI overall0.42

Poverty rate6.0%

Median income$150,208

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Poway and the region

Centroid at 32.9677, -117.0571 · click any tract to drill in

Why Holland scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Poway

6.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.0% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$3,500 rent vs county FMR

7.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Poway

7.7

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.2

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Poway

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Poway

5.5

How Holland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
68%Racial/ethnic minority
34%Housing & transportation

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

8.4%Housing insecurity
4.1%Utility-shutoff threat
9.1%Food insecurity
7.9%SNAP enrollment
5.5%Transit barriers
4.8%No health insurance
14.0%Frequent mental distress
22.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Holland

Against San Diego County at 52.5%, 75% of renters here are cost-burdened. At $3,500 a month, rents run 52% over what the rest of Poway commands.

It sits 2.4 points below the San Diego County average of 7.6. The main counterweight is economic stress at 1.5/10. Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.7/10.

The voucher gap is 21.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.

SNAP participation runs 7.9% against 15.2% nationally. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 4.1% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 8% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073017040

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073017040?

Census tract 06073017040 in the Holland neighborhood scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06073017040?

Median gross rent is $3,500/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 75% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073017040?

6.0% of residents in tract 06073017040 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,456.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073017040?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 64th, minority 68th, housing 34th.

Is tract 06073017040 considered part of Holland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073017040 fall within Holland (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06073017040 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06073017040 compare to Poway overall?

Tract 06073017040 scores 5.2/10, lower than the parent city of Poway at 6.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Poway; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Poway

Top eight tracts in Poway ranked by composite eviction-risk score.