Sycamore Creek Eviction Risk: Moderate

At $3,229 a month, rents sit 40% over what the rest of Poway commands. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

Severe burden reaches 19%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. The voucher gap is 12.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears.

Food insecurity affects 9.0% of adults, 8.8 points below the national rate. 4.5% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Among the 9 mapped neighborhoods of Poway, it ranks #6 by risk, the lower third.

Only 9% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. The closest comparables inside the same city are Green Valley Summit and Las Cadenas. Against average income of $201,875, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

One tract means one number: 5.1/10 applies directly to any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.