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Neighborhood · Poway, CA

Valle Del Norte Eviction Risk: Moderate

1 census tracts · pop 3,184 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 5.3/10 · range 5.3–5.3

Valle Del Norte is a one-tract neighborhood of Poway, CA, population 3,184. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10, in the Moderate tier. Severe burden reaches 46%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

Against a Poway baseline of 32.7%, 46% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1.7/10.

On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10. CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 6.6% of adults, against 14.2% nationally.

Food insecurity affects 7.1% of adults, 10.7 points below the national rate. That places it #4 of 9 neighborhoods in Poway. Only 6% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Rent takes 17% of average household income, comfortably inside the 30% line and unusually low for a rental sub-market. Poverty sits at 7%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. Average gross rent runs $2,388, close to the Poway average.

Because the boundary contains one tract, 5.3/10 is simultaneously the area figure and the address-level figure. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
5.3
Moderate
1 tracts · population-weighted
Valle Del Norte vs Poway How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
46.4% +42%
Poway: 32.7%
Average gross rent
$2,388 +4%
Poway: $2,301
Average HH income
$170,500 +19%
Poway: $143,825
Poverty rate
6.7% +29%
Poway: 5.2%
Renter share
6.4% -74%
Poway: 24.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Valle Del Norte and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 5.3–5.3

Why Valle Del Norte scores 5.3

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 6.5–6.5 across tracts
6.5
Rent control risk
46% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.2–6.2 across tracts
6.2
Tenant organizing strength
6% renter households · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 5.5–5.5 across tracts
5.5
Economic stress
6.7% below poverty line · Range 1.7–1.7 across tracts
1.7
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.3–3.3 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Valle Del Norte vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Valle Del Norte score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Valle Del Norte: 5.35.3Valle Del NorteNeighborhoodParent city: 6.56.5Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

1 tracts in Valle Del Norte

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06073017006 5.3 3,184 46% $2,388
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 25

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 18%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 66%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 46%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 20%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Valle Del Norte

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Valle Del Norte

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Valle Del Norte?

Valle Del Norte scores 5.3/10 (Moderate tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Valle Del Norte compare to Poway overall?

Valle Del Norte scores 1.2 points lower than Poway overall (6.5/10). Renters spend 46% of income on rent vs 33% citywide. Average rent: $2,388 vs $2,301.
Q3

What is the average rent in Valle Del Norte?

Average gross rent in Valle Del Norte is $2,388/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Valle Del Norte residents are renters?

6% of Valle Del Norte households are renter-occupied (vs 25% in Poway). The neighborhood has 3,184 residents.
Q5

Is Valle Del Norte a high social-vulnerability area?

Valle Del Norte sits in the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

How safe is Valle Del Norte for landlords?

Valle Del Norte carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (5.3/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Poway as a whole (6.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q7

What is the demographic breakdown of Valle Del Norte?

Valle Del Norte has 3,214 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (69.1%), Hispanic / Latino (14.6%), Black (non-Hispanic) (6.3%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Valle Del Norte

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Poway

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Valle Del Norte.

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