Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally
Carlton Hills Eviction Risk: Elevated , Santee
Tract 06073016610 · San Diego, CA · pop 4,754 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
06073016610 is a census tract in the Carlton Hills area of Santee, CA. It scores 7.2/10 for landlords. The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.
Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8%
Stable renters 7%
Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units1,494
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.37
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$84,407
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
93
th percentile
Very High
Within county
35
th percentile
Low
Within state
46
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Santee and the region
Centroid at 32.8585, -116.9800 · click any tract to drill in
Why Carlton Hills scores 7.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Santee
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,933 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santee
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santee
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santee
6.7
How Carlton Hills compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 37
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 34%Socioeconomic
- 48%Household composition
- 47%Racial/ethnic minority
- 38%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Carlton Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.4%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.8%Food insecurity
- 12.8%SNAP enrollment
- 7.7%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 18.0%Frequent mental distress
- 26.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Carlton Hills
The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10.
At $1,933 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Santee commands. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
Only 16% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 4.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
53% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the San Diego County average of 7.6 closely. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $84,407.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06073016610
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016610?
Census tract 06073016610 in the Carlton Hills neighborhood scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06073016610?
Median gross rent is $1,933/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016610?
12.0% of residents in tract 06073016610 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,754.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016610?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 37th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 48th, minority 47th, housing 38th.
Q5
Is tract 06073016610 considered part of Carlton Hills?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016610 fall within Carlton Hills (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06073016610 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.4% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06073016610 compare to Santee overall?
Tract 06073016610 scores 7.2/10, higher than the parent city of Santee at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Santee
Top eight tracts in Santee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06073016617
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06073016619
7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Carlton Hills
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Carlton Hills
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Carlton Hills
6.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
Riverview
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06073016618
5.9
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06073016704
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
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