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Neighborhood · Ranked #20,506 of 84,120 nationally

Carlton Hills Eviction Risk: Moderate , Santee

Tract 06073016621 · San Diego, CA · pop 3,825 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

06073016621 is a census tract in the Carlton Hills area of Santee, CA. It scores 5.8/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 8.8/10.

Risk score
5.8
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 3% Owners 93%
Tract context
Occupied units1,350
Renter share7.3%
SVI overall0.12
Poverty rate10.6%
Median income$140,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
43 th percentile
Rank, 43rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 8 tracts In Carlton Hills
Moderate
Within parent city
47 th percentile
Rank, 47th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 16 tracts In Santee
Moderate
Within county
12 th percentile
Rank, 12th percentileLowHigh
#648 of 736 tracts In San Diego
Very Low
Within state
19 th percentile
Rank, 19th percentileLowHigh
#7,378 of 9,109 tracts In California
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Santee and the region

Centroid at 32.8723, -116.9942 · click any tract to drill in

Why Carlton Hills scores 5.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Santee
6.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.6% poverty · this tract
2.7
Supply constraint
$2,857 rent vs county FMR
4.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Santee
8.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Santee
6.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Santee
6.7

How Carlton Hills compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Carlton Hills risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.85.8This tracttract 016621Santee: 6.66.6Santeeparent cityCounty: 7.67.6Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 12

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Carlton Hills. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Carlton Hills

The severe-burden share is 24%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Against the San Diego County average of 7.6, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.8 points. At $2,857 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Santee commands.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10.

Food insecurity runs 10.7% against 17.8% nationally. That is riskier than roughly 76% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

At 7% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 55% of renters. Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $140,250.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06073016621

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06073016621?

Census tract 06073016621 in the Carlton Hills neighborhood scores 5.8/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06073016621?

Median gross rent is $2,857/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06073016621?

10.6% of residents in tract 06073016621 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,825.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06073016621?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 12th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 34th, minority 50th, housing 7th.
Q5

Is tract 06073016621 considered part of Carlton Hills?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06073016621 fall within Carlton Hills (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06073016621 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06073016621 compare to Santee overall?

Tract 06073016621 scores 5.8/10, lower than the parent city of Santee at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Santee; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Santee

Top eight tracts in Santee ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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