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Neighborhood · San Francisco, CA

Hayes Valley Eviction Risk: High

5 census tracts · pop 17,521 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9.9/10 · range 9.9–9.9

Hayes Valley takes in 5 census tracts of San Francisco, CA, population 17,521. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9.9/10, placing it in the High tier. The strongest single driver of the headline number is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is eviction-process difficulty at 10/10. On the high side is tenant-organizing strength at 10/10. This is a renter market: 83% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Against a San Francisco baseline of 25.1%, 35% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. The severe-burden share is 16%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay. The poverty rate is 17%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

At $2,252 a month, rents sit 9% under what the rest of San Francisco commands. Among the 53 mapped neighborhoods of San Francisco, it ranks #1 by risk, the upper third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Little Saigon and Civic Center.

Its 5 tracts score within 0 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $101,244.

The area figure travels well to individual addresses here, though the per-tract table below still carries the detail. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9.9
High
5 tracts · population-weighted
Hayes Valley vs San Francisco How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
35.0% +39%
San Francisco: 25.1%
Average gross rent
$2,252 -9%
San Francisco: $2,476
Average HH income
$101,244 -28%
San Francisco: $141,446
Poverty rate
17.1% +62%
San Francisco: 10.6%
Renter share
82.7% +34%
San Francisco: 61.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Hayes Valley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 5 tracts span score 9.9–9.9

Why Hayes Valley scores 9.9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.6–8.6 across tracts
8.6
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 9.8–9.8 across tracts
9.8
Rent control risk
35% of income on rent · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Tenant organizing strength
83% renter households · Range 10.0–10.0 across tracts
10.0
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Economic stress
17.1% below poverty line · Range 3.2–8.9 across tracts
4.3
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.0–3.4 across tracts
2.2
Risk score comparison

Hayes Valley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Hayes Valley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.9.9Hayes ValleyNeighborhood9.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Hayes Valley?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0 points from 9.9 to 9.9. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

5 tracts in Hayes Valley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06075016300 9.9 3,942 41% $2,204
06075020101 9.9 3,924 27% $2,782
06075016802 9.9 3,807 34% $2,357
06075016200 9.9 3,230 33% $2,437
06075016102 9.9 2,618 43% $1,147
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 5 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 40%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 70%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 94%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Hayes Valley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Hayes Valley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Hayes Valley?

Hayes Valley scores 9.9/10 (High tier) across 5 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Hayes Valley compare to San Francisco overall?

Hayes Valley scores 0.0 points higher than San Francisco overall (9.9/10). Renters spend 35% of income on rent vs 25% citywide. Average rent: $2,252 vs $2,476.
Q3

What is the average rent in Hayes Valley?

Average gross rent in Hayes Valley is $2,252/month (pop-weighted across 5 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Hayes Valley residents are renters?

83% of Hayes Valley households are renter-occupied (vs 62% in San Francisco). The neighborhood has 17,521 residents.
Q5

Is Hayes Valley a high social-vulnerability area?

Hayes Valley sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Hayes Valley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Hayes Valley is census tract 06075016300 (score 9.9/10). Across the 5 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 9.9 to 9.9, a spread of 0 points.
Q7

How safe is Hayes Valley for landlords?

Hayes Valley carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9.9/10). Pop-weighted across 5 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to San Francisco as a whole (9.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Hayes Valley?

Hayes Valley has 17,765 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (40.7%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.3%), Hispanic / Latino (16.9%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Hayes Valley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside San Francisco

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Hayes Valley.

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