Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Polk Gulch Eviction Risk: High , San Francisco

Tract 06075013102 · San Francisco, CA · pop 2,731 · neighborhood within 0.4 mi

With a score of 8.8/10, tract 06075013102 in the Polk Gulch area of San Francisco, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,731. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

8.8

High

Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 50% Owners 30%

Tract context

Occupied units1,565

Renter share69.3%

SVI overall0.29

Poverty rate1.2%

Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Francisco and the region

Centroid at 37.7926, -122.4274 · click any tract to drill in

Why Polk Gulch scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Francisco

9.8

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.6

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

1.2% poverty · this tract

1.0

Supply constraint

$3,501 rent vs county FMR

5.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

10.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Francisco

10.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Francisco

9.5

How Polk Gulch compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 29

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

6%Socioeconomic
11%Household composition
54%Racial/ethnic minority
88%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
29%Grade B
33%Grade C
0%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Polk Gulch. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

5.3%Housing insecurity
2.9%Utility-shutoff threat
4.8%Food insecurity
3.5%SNAP enrollment
3.7%Transit barriers
3.1%No health insurance
13.0%Frequent mental distress
17.9%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Polk Gulch

Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 10/10. At $3,501 a month, rents run 41% over what the rest of San Francisco commands.

Sitting well above the midpoint, tenant-organizing strength reads 10/10. The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Cost burden runs 28% here against 37.3% across San Francisco County. Disability prevalence runs 17.9% against 31.5% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 5.3% against 14.2% nationally. Against the San Francisco County average of 9.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.7 points.

This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for San Francisco. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. Nationally it ranks #4,622 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.6/10.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06075013102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06075013102?

Census tract 06075013102 in the Polk Gulch neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06075013102?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06075013102?

1.2% of residents in tract 06075013102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,731.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06075013102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 6th, household 11th, minority 54th, housing 88th.

Is tract 06075013102 considered part of Polk Gulch?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06075013102 fall within Polk Gulch (neighborhood centroid within 0.4 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06075013102 struggle to pay rent?

About 5.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06075013102 compare to San Francisco overall?

Tract 06075013102 scores 8.8/10, lower than the parent city of San Francisco at 9.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Francisco eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06075013102 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Francisco

Top eight tracts in San Francisco ranked by composite eviction-risk score.