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Neighborhood · Menlo Park, CA

Downtown North Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 10,960 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7/10 · range 7–7.1

Downtown North takes in 3 census tracts of Menlo Park, CA, population 10,960. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7/10, Elevated tier. Pulling the other way is economic stress, at 1/10.

Cost burden runs 38% against 28.4% citywide, putting Downtown North 9.7% over its own city. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 8.7/10. 17% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.3% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 5.4% of adults, 12.4 points below the national rate.

Against average income of $191,907, annual rent is only 19%, a wide affordability cushion. Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually reflect a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Its 3 tracts score within 0.1 points of one another, so the area figure travels well to individual addresses. Average gross rent runs $3,102, close to the Menlo Park average. 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

With little internal variation, 7/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Downtown North vs Menlo Park How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
38.1% +34%
Menlo Park: 28.4%
Average gross rent
$3,102 -4%
Menlo Park: $3,239
Average HH income
$191,907 -7%
Menlo Park: $206,588
Poverty rate
3.8% -25%
Menlo Park: 5.1%
Renter share
62.0% +35%
Menlo Park: 45.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Downtown North and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 7–7.1

Why Downtown North scores 7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.9–7.9 across tracts
7.9
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Rent control risk
38% of income on rent · Range 4.9–4.9 across tracts
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Tenant organizing strength
62% renter households · Range 8.7–8.7 across tracts
8.7
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 4.0–4.0 across tracts
4.0
Economic stress
3.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.1 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 3.1–5.6 across tracts
4.4
Risk score comparison

Downtown North vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Downtown North score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.0Downtown NorthNeighborhood7.5Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Downtown North?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 0.1 points from 7 to 7.1. Tracts are relatively uniform, so conditions feel similar throughout the neighborhood.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Downtown North

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06081612500 7.1 4,524 50% $3,324
06081612600 7 4,372 27% $2,684
06081612700 7 2,064 35% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 27

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 5%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 34%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 51%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 68%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Downtown North

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Downtown North

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Downtown North?

Downtown North scores 7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Downtown North compare to Menlo Park overall?

Downtown North scores 0.5 points lower than Menlo Park overall (7.5/10). Renters spend 38% of income on rent vs 28% citywide. Average rent: $3,102 vs $3,239.
Q3

What is the average rent in Downtown North?

Average gross rent in Downtown North is $3,102/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Downtown North residents are renters?

62% of Downtown North households are renter-occupied (vs 46% in Menlo Park). The neighborhood has 10,960 residents.
Q5

Is Downtown North a high social-vulnerability area?

Downtown North sits in the 27th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Downtown North have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Downtown North is census tract 06081612500 (score 7.1/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 7 to 7.1, a spread of 0.1 points.
Q7

How safe is Downtown North for landlords?

Downtown North carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Menlo Park as a whole (7.5/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Downtown North?

Downtown North has 10,885 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (62.8%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.3%), Other / Multiracial (7.6%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Downtown North

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Menlo Park

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Downtown North.

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