Within neighborhood
40
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally
Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 06087121602 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 2,685 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
With a score of 4.6/10, tract 06087121602 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood of Capitola ranks in the Moderate tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 2,685 residents. That is riskier than about 27% of US census tracts.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 26% of renter households, a moderate level, and 2% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,896 monthly, set against $97,500 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. About 23% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 6%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 77%
Tract context
Occupied units1,196
Renter share22.8%
SVI overall0.50
Poverty rate11.6%
Median income$97,500
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
46
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
29
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Capitola and the region
Centroid at 36.9666, -121.9602 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitola Esplanade scores 4.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Capitola
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.6% poverty · this tract
2.9
Supply constraint
$1,896 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitola
4.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitola
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitola
4.3
How Capitola Esplanade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 50
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 22%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 38%Racial/ethnic minority
- 92%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Capitola Esplanade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.3%Housing insecurity
- 5.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 11.2%Food insecurity
- 10.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.8%Transit barriers
- 6.9%No health insurance
- 16.1%Frequent mental distress
- 26.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitola Esplanade
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Capitola, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 50th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121602?
Census tract 06087121602 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121602?
Median gross rent is $1,896/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 26% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121602?
11.6% of residents in tract 06087121602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,685.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 50th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 22th, household 38th, minority 38th, housing 92th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121602 considered part of Capitola Esplanade?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121602 fall within Capitola Esplanade (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121602 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087121602 compare to Capitola overall?
Tract 06087121602 scores 4.4/10, lower than the parent city of Capitola at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Capitola
Top eight tracts in Capitola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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