Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally
Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06087121701 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,572 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi
Census tract 06087121701 runs through the Capitola Esplanade area of Capitola. With 4,572 residents, it scores 5.6/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 62% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.
About 48% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 24% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,396 a month while the average household earns $97,035 a year, roughly 30% of income at the averages. About 53% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.3
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 25%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 48%
Tract context
Occupied units1,858
Renter share52.9%
SVI overall0.69
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$97,035
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
69
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Capitola and the region
Centroid at 36.9751, -121.9604 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitola Esplanade scores 6.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Capitola
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$2,396 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitola
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitola
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitola
6.2
How Capitola Esplanade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 69
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 38%Socioeconomic
- 75%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Capitola Esplanade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 6.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 13.5%Food insecurity
- 12.5%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 8.1%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.4%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitola Esplanade
What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Capitola, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 11.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 69th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121701
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121701?
Census tract 06087121701 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121701?
Median gross rent is $2,396/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121701?
14.1% of residents in tract 06087121701 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,572.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121701?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 75th, minority 59th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121701 considered part of Capitola Esplanade?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121701 fall within Capitola Esplanade (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121701 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087121701 compare to Capitola overall?
Tract 06087121701 scores 6.3/10, lower than the parent city of Capitola at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Capitola
Top eight tracts in Capitola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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