Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,927 of 84,120 nationally
Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06087121802 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 2,366 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
06087121802 is a census tract in the Capitola Esplanade area of Capitola, CA. It scores 7.6/10 for landlords. Population here is 2,366. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.
Risk score
7.6
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share48.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$94,293
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
65
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
54
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Capitola and the region
Centroid at 36.9803, -121.9508 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitola Esplanade scores 7.6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Capitola
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,170 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitola
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitola
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitola
6.2
How Capitola Esplanade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Capitola Esplanade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.1%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitola Esplanade
25% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10.
Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. Against the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 0.8 points.
At $2,170 a month, rents run 14% under what the rest of Capitola commands. Nationally it ranks #9,927 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.5/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.
Annual rent works out to 28% of average household income of $94,293. 48% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121802?
Census tract 06087121802 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood scores 7.6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121802?
Median gross rent is $2,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121802?
12.1% of residents in tract 06087121802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 64th, minority 54th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121802 considered part of Capitola Esplanade?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121802 fall within Capitola Esplanade (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121802 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087121802 compare to Capitola overall?
Tract 06087121802 scores 7.6/10, higher than the parent city of Capitola at 7.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Capitola
Top eight tracts in Capitola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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