Within neighborhood
80
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #9,878 of 84,120 nationally
Capitola Esplanade Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06087121802 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 2,366 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
For landlords sizing up the Capitola Esplanade area of Capitola, census tract 06087121802 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. On the national scale it ranks #38,242 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
About 46% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $2,170 a month against an average household income of $94,293 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. Renters make up 48% of occupied homes.
Risk score
6.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,217
Renter share48.4%
SVI overall0.61
Poverty rate12.1%
Median income$94,293
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
50
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
66
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
63
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Capitola and the region
Centroid at 36.9803, -121.9508 · click any tract to drill in
Why Capitola Esplanade scores 6.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Capitola
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
12.1% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$2,170 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Capitola
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Capitola
9.1
Housing court bias
Inherited from Capitola
6.2
How Capitola Esplanade compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 61
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 28%Socioeconomic
- 64%Household composition
- 54%Racial/ethnic minority
- 90%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Capitola Esplanade. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 10.1%Housing insecurity
- 6.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.1%Food insecurity
- 12.2%SNAP enrollment
- 7.3%Transit barriers
- 6.3%No health insurance
- 15.9%Frequent mental distress
- 30.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Capitola Esplanade
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 9.1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Capitola, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Santa Cruz County average of 5.3 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 10.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 61st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087121802
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087121802?
Census tract 06087121802 in the Capitola Esplanade neighborhood scores 6.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087121802?
Median gross rent is $2,170/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087121802?
12.1% of residents in tract 06087121802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,366.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087121802?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 61th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 28th, household 64th, minority 54th, housing 90th.
Q5
Is tract 06087121802 considered part of Capitola Esplanade?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087121802 fall within Capitola Esplanade (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087121802 struggle to pay rent?
About 10.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087121802 compare to Capitola overall?
Tract 06087121802 scores 6.2/10, lower than the parent city of Capitola at 8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Capitola; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Capitola
Top eight tracts in Capitola ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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