Freedom Eviction Risk: High , Watsonville

The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. It sits 2.5 points above the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8.

On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1/10. 60% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well above the Santa Cruz County average of 48.5%. Annualized rent equals 34% of average household income of $63,571, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. Food insecurity runs 33.0% against 17.8% nationally. The poverty rate is 21%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Housing insecurity runs 25.0% against 14.2% nationally. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $1,824, close to the Watsonville average.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.