Within neighborhood
83
th percentile
High
Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally
Colache Town Eviction Risk: High , Watsonville
Tract 06087110302 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 3,178 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 9.3/10, tract 06087110302 in the Colache Town area of Watsonville, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,178 residents. Severe burden reaches 43%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 42%
Stable renters 26%
Owners 32%
Tract context
Occupied units725
Renter share68.7%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate29.9%
Median income$55,281
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
92
th percentile
Very High
Within county
91
th percentile
Very High
Within state
85
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Watsonville and the region
Centroid at 36.9142, -121.7597 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colache Town scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Watsonville
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
29.9% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,744 rent vs county FMR
1.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watsonville
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watsonville
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watsonville
7.5
How Colache Town compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 98%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Colache Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 36.7%Housing insecurity
- 21.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 49.0%Food insecurity
- 48.7%SNAP enrollment
- 24.4%Transit barriers
- 31.3%No health insurance
- 22.3%Frequent mental distress
- 45.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colache Town
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Housing insecurity runs 36.7% against 14.2% nationally.
It sits 2.5 points above the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8. 62% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, markedly above the Santa Cruz County average of 48.5%.
Adults with no health insurance runs 31.3% against 11.3% nationally. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1/10. Annualized rent equals 38% of average household income of $55,281, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10. This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.
The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 06087110302
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087110302?
Census tract 06087110302 in the Colache Town neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06087110302?
Median gross rent is $1,744/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 62% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06087110302?
29.9% of residents in tract 06087110302 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,178.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06087110302?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 98th, minority 98th, housing 99th.
Q5
Is tract 06087110302 considered part of Colache Town?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087110302 fall within Colache Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 06087110302 struggle to pay rent?
About 36.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 21.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 06087110302 compare to Watsonville overall?
Tract 06087110302 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Watsonville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watsonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Watsonville
Top eight tracts in Watsonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
Freedom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Freedom
9.3
/ 10 · Very High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
8.8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Colache Town
8.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Freedom
8.7
/ 10 · High
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