Neighborhood · Ranked #4,622 of 84,120 nationally

Colache Town Eviction Risk: High , Watsonville

Tract 06087110102 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,747 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

Census tract 06087110102 covers part of the Colache Town area of Watsonville, CA, and scores 8.8/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,747 residents. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Risk score

8.8

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 28% Owners 48%

Tract context

Occupied units1,718

Renter share52.3%

SVI overall0.93

Poverty rate11.0%

Median income$68,889

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watsonville and the region

Centroid at 36.9173, -121.7441 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colache Town scores 8.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.0% poverty · this tract

2.8

Supply constraint

$1,676 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Watsonville

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Watsonville

7.5

How Colache Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
100%Household composition
80%Racial/ethnic minority
80%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colache Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

21.6%Housing insecurity
10.9%Utility-shutoff threat
27.6%Food insecurity
24.0%SNAP enrollment
13.2%Transit barriers
20.2%No health insurance
17.2%Frequent mental distress
38.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colache Town

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Food insecurity runs 27.6% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 21.6% against 14.2% nationally. At $1,676 a month, rents run 11% under what the rest of Watsonville commands. That is riskier than roughly 95% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.4/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 46% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $68,889.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087110102

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087110102?

Census tract 06087110102 in the Colache Town neighborhood scores 8.8/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087110102?

Median gross rent is $1,676/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 46% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087110102?

11.0% of residents in tract 06087110102 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,747.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087110102?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 100th, minority 80th, housing 80th.

Is tract 06087110102 considered part of Colache Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087110102 fall within Colache Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087110102 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087110102 compare to Watsonville overall?

Tract 06087110102 scores 8.8/10, higher than the parent city of Watsonville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watsonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Watsonville

Top eight tracts in Watsonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.