Skip to content
Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

Colache Town Eviction Risk: High , Watsonville

Tract 06087110101 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 2,767 · neighborhood within 1.5 mi

Tract 06087110101 sits in the Colache Town area of Watsonville, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.7/10. It is home to 2,767 residents. 50% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 44% Stable renters 4% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units902
Renter share48.6%
SVI overall0.64
Poverty rate14.1%
Median income$81,488

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 7 tracts In Colache Town
Low
Within parent city
39 th percentile
Rank, 39th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 14 tracts In Watsonville
Low
Within county
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#13 of 69 tracts In Santa Cruz
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2,258 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Watsonville and the region

Centroid at 36.9267, -121.7395 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colache Town scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Watsonville
8.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.1% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$3,351 rent vs county FMR
2.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Watsonville
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Watsonville
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Watsonville
7.5

How Colache Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Colache Town risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.7This tracttract 1101017.9Watsonvilleparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 64

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colache Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colache Town

92% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, far above the Santa Cruz County average of 48.5%. At $3,351 a month, rents run 77% over what the rest of Watsonville commands.

Annualized rent equals 49% of average household income of $81,488, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The dominant input is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

It sits 1.9 points above the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.2/10. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.7/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087110101

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087110101?

Census tract 06087110101 in the Colache Town neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06087110101?

Median gross rent is $3,351/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 92% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087110101?

14.1% of residents in tract 06087110101 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,767.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087110101?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 64th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 48th, household 97th, minority 85th, housing 24th.
Q5

Is tract 06087110101 considered part of Colache Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087110101 fall within Colache Town (neighborhood centroid within 1.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06087110101 struggle to pay rent?

About 17.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06087110101 compare to Watsonville overall?

Tract 06087110101 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Watsonville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watsonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Watsonville

Top eight tracts in Watsonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related