Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

Colache Town Eviction Risk: High , Watsonville

Tract 06087110402 · Santa Cruz, CA · pop 4,369 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 06087110402 sits in the Colache Town area of Watsonville, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.7/10. It is home to 4,369 residents. 57% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

8.7

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 10% Owners 57%

Tract context

Occupied units1,304

Renter share42.9%

SVI overall0.69

Poverty rate15.7%

Median income$89,032

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Watsonville and the region

Centroid at 36.9121, -121.7781 · click any tract to drill in

Why Colache Town scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.0

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

15.7% poverty · this tract

3.9

Supply constraint

$2,403 rent vs county FMR

1.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Watsonville

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.3

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Watsonville

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Watsonville

7.5

How Colache Town compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 69

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

54%Socioeconomic
58%Household composition
92%Racial/ethnic minority
69%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Colache Town. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

22.3%Housing insecurity
11.2%Utility-shutoff threat
27.0%Food insecurity
22.5%SNAP enrollment
13.6%Transit barriers
17.7%No health insurance
19.3%Frequent mental distress
32.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Colache Town

Cost burden runs roughly three in four here against 48.5% across Santa Cruz County. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10. Against the Santa Cruz County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.2/10.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income of $89,032, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. At $2,403 a month, rents run 27% over what the rest of Watsonville commands.

Housing insecurity runs 22.3% against 14.2% nationally. SNAP participation runs 22.5% against 15.2% nationally.

That is riskier than roughly 94% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.2/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06087110402

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06087110402?

Census tract 06087110402 in the Colache Town neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06087110402?

Median gross rent is $2,403/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 77% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06087110402?

15.7% of residents in tract 06087110402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,369.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06087110402?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 69th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 54th, household 58th, minority 92th, housing 69th.

Is tract 06087110402 considered part of Colache Town?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06087110402 fall within Colache Town (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06087110402 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06087110402 compare to Watsonville overall?

Tract 06087110402 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of Watsonville at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Watsonville; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Watsonville

Top eight tracts in Watsonville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.