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Lakehead, California eviction risk overview
City brief · 577 residents

Lakehead, CA Eviction Risk: HIGH

Shasta County · Population 577

In 2026
Risk score
7.5
HIGH

26th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min2.6 Average4.2 Now7.5
8.2 2.6 1976 · score 2.7 1977 · score 2.7 1978 · score 2.6 1979 · score 2.6 1980 · score 2.7 1981 · score 2.7 1982 · score 2.9 1983 · score 2.9 1984 · score 2.8 1985 · score 2.8 1986 · score 2.7 1987 · score 2.6 1988 · score 2.7 1989 · score 2.7 1990 · score 2.8 1991 · score 2.9 1992 · score 3.2 1993 · score 3.3 1994 · score 3.3 1995 · score 3.1 1996 · score 3.1 1997 · score 3.1 1998 · score 3.2 1999 · score 3.2 2000 · score 3.5 2001 · score 3.7 2002 · score 3.8 2003 · score 3.9 2004 · score 3.8 2005 · score 3.9 2006 · score 3.9 2007 · score 4.0 2008 · score 4.7 2009 · score 4.9 2010 · score 5.0 2011 · score 5.1 2012 · score 5.1 2013 · score 5.1 2014 · score 5.1 2015 · score 5.0 2016 · score 5.1 2017 · score 5.1 2018 · score 5.2 2019 · score 6.0 2020 · score 8.2 2021 · score 8.0 2022 · score 7.7 2023 · score 7.3 2024 · score 7.7 2025 · score 7.6 2026 · score 7.5

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.0 Regional 4.0 State 6.8 Economic 8.3 Supply 4.7 Rent Control 8.7 Eviction 6.7 Tenant 3.7 Housing 8.5 7.5 HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    GOP margin +36.5% (2024)
    4.0
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.0
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    22.4% poverty · 8.0% unemp.
    8.3
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,875 average · 32.4% renters
    4.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    41.5% of income on rent
    8.7
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    272 days filing → judgment
    6.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    32.4% renters
    3.7
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    8.5
Geographic context

Risk heat across Lakehead and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Lakehead compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Shasta County
High
#7 of 27 cities
Rank in county, 77th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 27 cities in Shasta County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Low
#1216 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 24th percentileLowHigh
#1216 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Lakehead risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Lakehead: 7.57.5LakeheadThis cityCounty: 7.17.1Countyavg in countyState: 8.48.4Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 7.5
    / 10 · HIGH
    The verdict

    A High-tier market.

    Composite 7.5/10. High statutory friction with active tenant counsel, so assume defenses on every filing. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+4.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 272d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,875/mo. A contested eviction takes 272 days and costs $14,609–$34,784 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 32.4%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 577 residents, 32.4% rent. 42% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 22.4% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Light-statute interior market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4 and 4 (GOP margin +36.5% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.7, housing court bias 8.5, rent-control risk 8.7. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 8.3
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 8.3. Supply constraint: 4.7. The numbers behind those: 22.4% poverty, 8.0% unemployment, 42% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Lakehead sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Redding, CA · 256d · ~$26.8k all-in ($105/day) · score 7 Redding Los Angeles, CA · 273d · ~$22.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 9.9 Los Angeles San Diego, CA · 277d · ~$25.9k all-in ($94/day) · score 8.7 San Diego San Jose, CA · 261d · ~$24.2k all-in ($93/day) · score 9.2 San Jose San Francisco, CA · 273d · ~$23.9k all-in ($88/day) · score 9.7 San Francisco Fresno, CA · 279d · ~$24.4k all-in ($88/day) · score 8.9 Fresno Sacramento, CA · 281d · ~$25.0k all-in ($89/day) · score 9.2 Sacramento Long Beach, CA · 291d · ~$26.4k all-in ($91/day) · score 9.6 Long Beach Oakland, CA · 282d · ~$24.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 9.9 Oakland Bakersfield, CA · 249d · ~$25.6k all-in ($103/day) · score 7.7 Bakersfield Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 2.8 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 2.8 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 3.1 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 3.4 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 7.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 5.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.7 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle Lakehead
Lakehead · 272d · ~$24.7k all-in ($91/day) · score 7.5 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Lakehead, CA

Landlording in Lakehead, California, presents a high-friction environment where attorney involvement on every filing is the norm. The Eviction Risk Score is 7.5/10 (HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a High-friction landlord market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Lakehead is a city of 577 residents where 32.4% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 41.5% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,875/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Lakehead eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Lakehead closes 272 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Lakehead's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 8.5/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Lakehead runs $14,609 to $34,784 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 272 days of typical timeline and $1,875/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 3.7/10 in Lakehead, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (8.7/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Lakehead: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $34,784 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Lakehead

Trap · AB 1482
Politically, Shasta County voted Republican by 33.1 points in 2020, a baseline that correlates with landlord-neutral legislative pressure. Combined with 41.5% rent-to-income ratio, expect baseline enforcement of AB 1482 + Costa-Hawkins.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the most common mistake landlords make during eviction in Lakehead?

The biggest mistake is improper notice. California law is very specific about how notices must be served, what they must contain, and the exact timelines. Many landlords use generic notices or make errors that force them to restart the entire process, adding months and costs. Get the notice right the first time.
Q2

Can I just change the locks if my tenant stops paying rent?

Absolutely not. Changing locks, shutting off utilities, or removing a tenant's belongings are illegal "self-help" evictions in California. You will face severe penalties, including fines and possibly having to pay the tenant damages. You must follow the formal unlawful detainer process through the courts.
Q3

How much notice do I need to give if I want to raise the rent?

For month-to-month tenancies, if you're raising rent by 10% or less over the last 12 months, you need to give 30 days' written notice. If the increase is more than 10%, you need to give 60 days' written notice. These rules apply to Lakehead as part of statewide regulations. Remember, California also has statewide rent control rules that cap annual increases.
Q4

Is it worth offering "cash for keys" in Lakehead?

Given the typical 272-day eviction timeline and the $14,609, $34,784 cost range, "cash for keys" is almost always worth exploring. Offering a tenant $1,000-$3,000 to move out quickly and amicably can save you significant legal fees, lost rent, and property damage compared to a drawn-out eviction. Always get a written agreement.
Q5

Do I have to accept Section 8 tenants in Lakehead?

Yes, California has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot refuse to rent to someone solely because they use a Section 8 voucher or other lawful forms of income. You must apply the same screening criteria to all applicants, regardless of their income source. For more on this, see California tenant protections.
06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 7.5/10 places Lakehead in the 26th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.