Within parent city
20
th percentile
Low
Census Tract · Ranked #18,163 of 84,120 nationally
Ceres Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06099002504 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,785 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Ceres
06099002504 is a census tract in Ceres, CA. It scores 6/10 for landlords. Severe burden reaches 54%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
6
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 22%
Stable renters 13%
Owners 65%
Tract context
Occupied units1,430
Renter share35.7%
SVI overall0.83
Poverty rate8.2%
Median income$84,559
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
29
th percentile
Low
Within state
23
th percentile
Low
National
78
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ceres and the region
Centroid at 37.5921, -120.9698 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ceres scores 6
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ceres
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
8.2% poverty · this tract
2.1
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ceres
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ceres
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ceres
6.5
How Ceres compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 83
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 91%Socioeconomic
- 80%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 44%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 22.0%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 26.3%Food insecurity
- 23.1%SNAP enrollment
- 13.2%Transit barriers
- 18.5%No health insurance
- 19.1%Frequent mental distress
- 37.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ceres
Cost burden runs 62% here against 47.5% across Stanislaus County. The clearest offset is economic stress at 2.1/10. On the high side, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.6/10.
SNAP participation runs 23.1% against 15.2% nationally. Adults with no health insurance runs 18.5% against 11.3% nationally.
On the national scale it lands near the 78th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.5/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.5 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. 36% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099002504
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002504?
Census tract 06099002504 in Ceres scores 6/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002504?
8.2% of residents in tract 06099002504 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,785.
Q3
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002504?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 91th, household 80th, minority 83th, housing 44th.
Q4
What share of households in tract 06099002504 struggle to pay rent?
About 22.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q5
How does tract 06099002504 compare to Ceres overall?
Tract 06099002504 scores 6/10, lower than the parent city of Ceres at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ceres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ceres
Top eight tracts in Ceres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06099002604
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06099002602
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Bystrom
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002503
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002605
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099003003
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002505
6.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002603
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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