Within parent city
40
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally
Ceres Eviction Risk: Elevated
Tract 06099002505 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,956
06099002505 is a census tract in Ceres, CA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. about one in five of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, well under the Stanislaus County average of 47.5%.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 5%
Stable renters 22%
Owners 73%
Tract context
Occupied units1,247
Renter share27.1%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate14.7%
Median income$97,344
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
43
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
30
th percentile
Low
National
81
th percentile
High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Ceres and the region
Centroid at 37.5876, -120.9798 · click any tract to drill in
Why Ceres scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Ceres
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.0
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
14.7% poverty · this tract
3.7
Supply constraint
$1,688 rent vs county FMR
5.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Ceres
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Ceres
7.6
Housing court bias
Inherited from Ceres
6.5
How Ceres compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 68%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 93%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 21.0%Housing insecurity
- 9.8%Utility-shutoff threat
- 23.8%Food insecurity
- 19.2%SNAP enrollment
- 12.1%Transit barriers
- 16.9%No health insurance
- 18.4%Frequent mental distress
- 33.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Ceres
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.6/10. On the national scale it lands near the 81st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler.
It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. Average gross rent is $1,688, close to the Ceres average.
Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $97,344. 27% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 06099002505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002505?
Census tract 06099002505 in Ceres scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 06099002505?
Median gross rent is $1,688/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 20% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002505?
14.7% of residents in tract 06099002505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,956.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 68th, household 68th, minority 93th, housing 27th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 06099002505 struggle to pay rent?
About 21.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 06099002505 compare to Ceres overall?
Tract 06099002505 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Ceres at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Ceres; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Ceres
Top eight tracts in Ceres ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CA
06099002604
8
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
06099002602
7.7
/ 10 · High
Tract · CA
Bystrom
7.4
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002503
7.2
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002605
7.1
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099003003
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002603
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CA
06099002504
6
/ 10 · Elevated
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