Shackelford Eviction Risk: Elevated , Modesto
Tract 06099002401 · Stanislaus, CA · pop 4,106 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi
With a score of 6.7/10, tract 06099002401 in the Shackelford area of Modesto, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 4,106 residents. SNAP participation runs 33.2% against 15.2% nationally.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across Modesto and the region
Centroid at 37.5973, -121.0019 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shackelford scores 6.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Shackelford compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 75
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 90%Socioeconomic
- 68%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 27%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Shackelford. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 29.4%Housing insecurity
- 14.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 36.8%Food insecurity
- 33.2%SNAP enrollment
- 17.9%Transit barriers
- 25.8%No health insurance
- 21.0%Frequent mental distress
- 42.0%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Shackelford
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10. Severe burden reaches 17%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Running hot, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.9/10. The voucher gap is 22.2%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 2.7/10. Average gross rent is $1,913, 13% above the Modesto average. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 14.6% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.
Nationally it ranks #14,308 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the most pressured.
about half of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. It tracks the Stanislaus County average of 6.5 closely. Annual rent works out to 32% of average household income of $72,039.
30% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
About tract 06099002401
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06099002401?
What is the average rent in tract 06099002401?
What is the poverty rate in tract 06099002401?
How socially vulnerable is tract 06099002401?
Is tract 06099002401 considered part of Shackelford?
What share of households in tract 06099002401 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 06099002401 compare to Modesto overall?
Highest-risk tracts in Modesto
Top eight tracts in Modesto ranked by composite eviction-risk score.