South Davis Eviction Risk: High

What pushes it up most is economic stress at 10/10. Annualized rent equals 45% of average household income of $64,063, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Against the Yolo County average of 6.8, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.5 points.

The poverty rate is 41%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 9.5/10.

Cost burden runs 59% here against 46.3% across Yolo County. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 9.1/10.

This is renter territory: 69% of occupied units are tenant-occupied. The voucher gap is 14.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Average gross rent is $2,412, 10% above the Davis average.

That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 6.7/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.