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Neighborhood · Davis, CA

South Davis Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 13,529 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 7.7/10 · range 6.5–9.3

South Davis takes in 3 census tracts of Davis, CA and houses 13,529 people. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 7.7/10, Elevated tier. The severe-burden share is 36%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. The 3 tracts inside this boundary do not behave alike. Individual scores run 6.5 to 9.3, a 2.8-point gap wide enough that the area average misleads on any specific address. Sitting well above the midpoint is rent-regulation exposure at 9.1/10.

56% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, ahead of the Davis rate of 45.7%. Running hot is housing-court posture at 8.9/10. The poverty rate is 24%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest.

The voucher gap is 12.0%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. 5.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt. Average gross rent is $2,370, 8% above the Davis average of $2,187.

That places it #5 of 4 neighborhoods in Davis. The closest comparables inside the same city are West Davis and East Davis. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $115,549.

51% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

For a specific building, read the per-tract breakdown below rather than the 7.7 headline, because the internal range is too wide to average safely. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
South Davis vs Davis How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
55.6% +22%
Davis: 45.7%
Average gross rent
$2,370 +8%
Davis: $2,187
Average HH income
$115,549 +32%
Davis: $87,421
Poverty rate
23.5% -6%
Davis: 25.1%
Renter share
51.1% -10%
Davis: 56.5%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across South Davis and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 6.5–9.3

Why South Davis scores 7.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 7.1–7.1 across tracts
7.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.4–7.4 across tracts
7.4
Rent control risk
56% of income on rent · Range 9.1–9.1 across tracts
9.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts
6.9
Tenant organizing strength
51% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 8.9–8.9 across tracts
8.9
Economic stress
23.5% below poverty line · Range 2.4–10.0 across tracts
5.8
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 5.4–6.7 across tracts
6.2
Risk score comparison

South Davis vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

South Davis score vs. parent city, state, U.S.7.7South DavisNeighborhood7.9Parent cityhost city7.6Stateavg in state5.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in South Davis?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 2.8 points from 6.5 to 9.3. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in South Davis

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06113010608 9.3 5,889 59% $2,412
06113010607 6.5 4,104 47% $2,209
06113010605 6.5 3,536 60% $2,486
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 39%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 23%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 66%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 62%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in South Davis

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About South Davis

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for South Davis?

South Davis scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does South Davis compare to Davis overall?

South Davis scores 0.2 points lower than Davis overall (7.9/10). Renters spend 56% of income on rent vs 46% citywide. Average rent: $2,370 vs $2,187.
Q3

What is the average rent in South Davis?

Average gross rent in South Davis is $2,370/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of South Davis residents are renters?

51% of South Davis households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Davis). The neighborhood has 13,529 residents.
Q5

Is South Davis a high social-vulnerability area?

South Davis sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in South Davis have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in South Davis is census tract 06113010608 (score 9.3/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 6.5 to 9.3, a spread of 2.8 points.
Q7

How safe is South Davis for landlords?

South Davis carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (7.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Davis as a whole (7.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of South Davis?

South Davis has 13,416 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (46.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (27%), Hispanic / Latino (18.4%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near South Davis

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Davis

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to South Davis.

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