Castle Rock Eviction Risk: Moderate

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.8/10. The voucher gap is 48.1%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 1/10.

On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 28 filings here across 2 tracked years.

The severe-burden share is 8%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The worst year on record was 2010, when 8.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 6.6% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

Social vulnerability reads 1.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 3%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.