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Census Tract · Ranked #47,371 of 84,120 nationally

Castle Rock Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 08035014013 · Douglas County, CO · pop 11,403 · 63% of tract blocks fall in Castle Rock

08035014013 is a census tract in Castle Rock, CO. It scores 4.1/10 for landlords. The severe-burden share is 44%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
4.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1% Stable renters 2% Owners 97%
Tract context
Occupied units3,837
Renter share2.7%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate3.3%
Median income$183,863

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#12 of 13 tracts In Castle Rock
Very Low
Within county
34 th percentile
Rank, 34th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 72 tracts In Douglas County
Low
Within state
35 th percentile
Rank, 35th percentileLowHigh
#938 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Low
National
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#47,371 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Castle Rock and the region

Centroid at 39.4216, -104.7977 · click any tract to drill in

Why Castle Rock scores 4.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
3.3% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Castle Rock
8.2
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Castle Rock
4.9
Housing court bias
Inherited from Castle Rock
5.4

How Castle Rock compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Castle Rock risk score vs. parent city / county / state4.1This tracttract 0140134.4Castle Rockparent city4.3Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 2

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 8Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 5.54%Avg annual filing rate
  • 6.7%Peak (2010)
  • 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Castle Rock

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $3,501, 75% above the Castle Rock average. The voucher gap is 63.6%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Court records carry 8 eviction filings across 2 observed years.

Filings peaked in 2010 at 6.7% of renter households. In a typical year about 5.5% of renter households face a filing.

On the national scale it lands near the 44th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 3% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. Social vulnerability reads 1.2/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 0.8 points cooler. Of its three components the socioeconomic standing measure is the least pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08035014013

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08035014013?

Census tract 08035014013 in Castle Rock scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08035014013?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08035014013?

3.3% of residents in tract 08035014013 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 11,403.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08035014013?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 10th, minority 35th, housing 10th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08035014013?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 8 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08035014013 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.54% of renter households, peaking at 6.7% in 2010. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

How does tract 08035014013 compare to Castle Rock overall?

Tract 08035014013 scores 4.1/10, lower than the parent city of Castle Rock at 4.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Castle Rock eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Castle Rock

Top eight tracts in Castle Rock ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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