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Vail, Colorado eviction risk overview
City brief · 4,613 residents

Vail, CO Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Eagle County · Population 4,613

In 2026
Risk score
4.9
MODERATE

50th percentile, Colorado.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.5 Average3.1 Now4.9
10 5 1976 · score 1.5 1977 · score 1.5 1978 · score 1.6 1979 · score 1.7 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 2.0 1989 · score 2.0 1990 · score 2.1 1991 · score 2.1 1992 · score 2.5 1993 · score 2.5 1994 · score 2.6 1995 · score 2.6 1996 · score 2.5 1997 · score 2.5 1998 · score 2.6 1999 · score 2.6 2000 · score 2.3 2001 · score 2.4 2002 · score 2.5 2003 · score 2.5 2004 · score 2.9 2005 · score 3.0 2006 · score 3.0 2007 · score 3.1 2008 · score 3.7 2009 · score 3.8 2010 · score 3.9 2011 · score 4.0 2012 · score 3.8 2013 · score 3.9 2014 · score 4.0 2015 · score 4.1 2016 · score 4.3 2017 · score 4.5 2018 · score 4.7 2019 · score 4.9 2020 · score 5.8 2021 · score 5.8 2022 · score 5.8 2023 · score 5.9 2024 · score 5.9 2025 · score 4.9 2026 · score 4.9

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.3 Regional 7.3 State 4.7 Economic 5.9 Supply 7.7 Rent Control 6.4 Eviction 4.2 Tenant 6.8 Housing 5.1 4.9 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +24.4% (2024)
    7.3
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.3
  3. State political climate
    Colorado legislature & governorship
    4.7
  4. Economic stress
    6.6% poverty · 7.1% unemp.
    5.9
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,606 average · 38.6% renters
    7.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    28.6% of income on rent
    6.4
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    102 days filing → judgment
    4.2
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    38.6% renters
    6.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.1
Geographic context

Risk heat across Vail and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Vail compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Eagle County
High
#3 of 12 cities
Rank in county — 82th percentileBottomTop
#3 of 12 cities in Eagle County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Colorado
Moderate
#257 of 479 cities
Rank in state — 46th percentileBottomTop
#257 of 479 cities in Colorado for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Vail risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Vail: 4.94.9VailThis cityCounty: 4.94.9Countyavg in countyState: 5.95.9Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 4.9
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 4.9/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.4 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 102d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,606/mo. A contested eviction takes 102 days and costs $4,714–$11,603 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 38.6%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 4,613 residents, 38.6% rent. 29% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 6.6% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 7.3
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.3 and 7.3 (Dem margin +24.4% (2024)). State climate at 4.7 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 4.7
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 4.7/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 4.2, housing court bias 5.1, rent-control risk 6.4. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-0.8 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.9
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.9. Supply constraint: 7.7. The numbers behind those: 6.6% poverty, 7.1% unemployment, 29% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Vail sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Denver, CO · 98d · ~$8.6k all-in ($88/day) · score 7.3 Denver Colorado Springs, CO · 106d · ~$8.6k all-in ($81/day) · score 4.5 Colorado Springs Aurora, CO · 94d · ~$9.3k all-in ($99/day) · score 5.9 Aurora Fort Collins, CO · 106d · ~$9.0k all-in ($85/day) · score 6.0 Fort Collins Lakewood, CO · 91d · ~$8.7k all-in ($96/day) · score 5.9 Lakewood Thornton, CO · 98d · ~$7.9k all-in ($80/day) · score 6.4 Thornton Arvada, CO · 109d · ~$8.2k all-in ($75/day) · score 6.2 Arvada Westminster, CO · 99d · ~$7.3k all-in ($74/day) · score 6.4 Westminster Pueblo, CO · 91d · ~$8.8k all-in ($97/day) · score 5.4 Pueblo Greeley, CO · 105d · ~$8.0k all-in ($76/day) · score 4.7 Greeley Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Vail
Vail · 102d · ~$8.2k all-in ($80/day) · score 4.9 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Vail, CO

Landlording in Vail, Colorado, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 4.9/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Vail is a city of 4,613 residents where 38.6% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 28.6% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,606/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Vail eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 4.2/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Vail closes 102 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Vail's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.1/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Vail runs $4,714 to $11,603 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 102 days of typical timeline and $1,606/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 6.8/10 in Vail, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.4/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Colorado, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Vail: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Colorado's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $11,603 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Vail

Trap · 6.4/10
The 4.9/10 score weighs nine sub-factors including political climate, court bias, supply constraint, and tenant organizing strength. Vail's rent-control-risk sub-score is 6.4/10, driven by demographic and political pressure for tenant relief.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What's the pay-or-quit notice period for Vail?

10 days. Colorado law (C.R.S. § 38-12 (Tenants and Landlords)) sets a 10-day pay-or-quit notice before any unlawful-detainer filing. If the tenant pays in full inside the cure window, the notice is satisfied and the landlord cannot proceed on that delinquency.

Q2

How much can I charge for a security deposit in Vail?

2.00 months of rent under Colorado statute. Return is due within 30 days of move-out with an itemized deduction statement. Late or unitemized returns typically expose the landlord to statutory damages — often double the deposit plus the tenant's attorney fees.

Q3

Can I end a month-to-month tenancy in Vail without cause?

Not at the state level. Colorado doesn't impose statewide just-cause. Some Colorado cities and counties do, though, so check Vail's local ordinances before drafting a no-cause notice.

Q4

Can Vail landlords refuse Section 8?

Yes. Colorado protects source of income statewide, so refusing Section 8 or other lawful income sources is illegal. You can still apply your standard income-multiple and credit/eviction-history screening — but the income source itself can't be a basis for denial.

Q5

What does an eviction cost in Vail?

Typical all-in: $4,714 to $11,603, covering filing, service, attorney representation, sheriff or constable lockout, and lost rent during the case. Cash-for-keys at $1,000-$3,000 routinely outperforms full-process economics when the tenant will negotiate.

Q6

What's the timeline for a Vail eviction?

Uncontested cases run 21-45 days from notice service to physical lockout. Contested cases — usually involving habitability counterclaims, retaliation defenses, or notice-defect attacks — extend by 60-180 days.

Q7

Can I lock out a tenant in Vail without going to court?

No. Self-help eviction — changing locks, shutting off utilities, removing belongings — is illegal in Colorado and every other state. Statutory damages typically run $1,000-$10,000 per incident plus the tenant's attorney fees. The fact that the tenant hasn't paid in months does not change this; you still go through court.

State-level deep-dives: Colorado eviction process, Colorado eviction costs, Colorado deposit rules, Colorado tenant protections. County context: Summit County overview. Score methodology: how we calculate the 4.9/10.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 4.9/10 places Vail in the 50th percentile of Colorado cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.