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Neighborhood · Ranked #50,654 of 84,120 nationally

Highland Park Eviction Risk: Lower , Fruitvale

Tract 08077001103 · Mesa County, CO · pop 3,413 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

08077001103 is a census tract in the Highland Park area of Grand Junction, CO. It scores 3.9/10 for landlords. Population here is 3,413. What pushes it up most is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3.9
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 8% Stable renters 14% Owners 78%
Tract context
Occupied units1,263
Renter share21.6%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate9.6%
Median income$95,380

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Highland Park
Very High
Within parent city
28 th percentile
Rank, 28th percentileLowHigh
#14 of 19 tracts In Fruitvale
Low
Within county
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#19 of 33 tracts In Mesa County
Moderate
Within state
29 th percentile
Rank, 29th percentileLowHigh
#1,024 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fruitvale and the region

Centroid at 39.0998, -108.5057 · click any tract to drill in

Why Highland Park scores 3.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fruitvale
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
9.6% poverty · this tract
2.4
Supply constraint
$1,903 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fruitvale
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fruitvale
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fruitvale
6.2

How Highland Park compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Highland Park risk score vs. parent city / county / state3.9This tracttract 0011033.7Fruitvaleparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Highland Park. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Highland Park

At $1,903 a month, rents run 67% over what the rest of Grand Junction commands. The voucher gap is 52.9%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Against Mesa County at 43.0%, 35% of renters here are cost-burdened.

Running hot, tenant-organizing strength reads 7.7/10. Well under the midpoint, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Against the Mesa County average of 4.5, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.6 points.

That is riskier than roughly 40% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 22% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 3.5/10.

Statewide the CO average is 4.9, so this tract runs 1.0 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Annual rent works out to 24% of average household income of $95,380.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08077001103

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077001103?

Census tract 08077001103 in the Highland Park neighborhood scores 3.9/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08077001103?

Median gross rent is $1,903/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08077001103?

9.6% of residents in tract 08077001103 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,413.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08077001103?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 41th, minority 49th, housing 16th.
Q5

Is tract 08077001103 considered part of Highland Park?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08077001103 fall within Highland Park (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How does tract 08077001103 compare to Fruitvale overall?

Tract 08077001103 scores 3.9/10, right in line with the parent city of Fruitvale at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fruitvale; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fruitvale

Top eight tracts in Fruitvale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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