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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,859 of 84,120 nationally

North Seventh Street National Historic District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Grand Junction

Tract 08077000400 · Mesa County, CO · pop 3,487 · neighborhood within 1.2 mi

With a score of 5.4/10, tract 08077000400 in the North Seventh Street National Historic District area of Grand Junction, CO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 3,487. 23% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
5.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 25% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units1,601
Renter share43.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate18.7%
Median income$72,659

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 4 tracts In North Seventh Street National Historic District
Very Low
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 19 tracts In Grand Junction
Elevated
Within county
72 th percentile
Rank, 72nd percentileLowHigh
#10 of 33 tracts In Mesa County
Elevated
Within state
65 th percentile
Rank, 65th percentileLowHigh
#515 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region

Centroid at 39.0851, -108.5742 · click any tract to drill in

Why North Seventh Street National Historic District scores 5.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Junction
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
18.7% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,116 rent vs county FMR
4.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Junction
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.2

How North Seventh Street National Historic District compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
North Seventh Street National Historic District risk score vs. parent city / county / state5.4This tracttract 0004004.6Grand Junctionparent city4.5Countyavg tract in county4.9Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 43Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 4.46%Avg annual filing rate
  • 5.4%Peak (2006)
  • 17Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within North Seventh Street National Historic District. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in North Seventh Street National Historic District

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. The poverty rate is 19%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.

It sits 0.9 points above the Mesa County average of 4.5. Court records carry 43 eviction filings across 2 observed years. The worst year on record was 2006, when 5.4% of renter households were served.

In a typical year about 4.5% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 70% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 7.9/10. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters.

Average gross rent is $1,116, close to the Grand Junction average. Annual rent works out to 18% of average household income of $72,659.

44% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 08077000400

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077000400?

Census tract 08077000400 in the North Seventh Street National Historic District neighborhood scores 5.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08077000400?

Median gross rent is $1,116/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08077000400?

18.7% of residents in tract 08077000400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,487.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08077000400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 67th, household 40th, minority 58th, housing 94th.
Q5

Is tract 08077000400 considered part of North Seventh Street National Historic District?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08077000400 fall within North Seventh Street National Historic District (neighborhood centroid within 1.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08077000400?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 43 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08077000400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 4.46% of renter households, peaking at 5.4% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08077000400 compare to Grand Junction overall?

Tract 08077000400 scores 5.4/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction

Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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