Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #21,564 of 84,120 nationally
Niagra Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Grand Junction
Tract 08077000700 · Mesa County, CO · pop 4,387 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
With a score of 5.7/10, tract 08077000700 in the Niagra Village area of Grand Junction, CO reads moderate for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,387. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
5.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share44.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$53,438
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
72
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
81
th percentile
High
Within state
73
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region
Centroid at 39.0730, -108.5338 · click any tract to drill in
Why Niagra Village scores 5.7
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Grand Junction
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$942 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Junction
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.2
How Niagra Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 77
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 69%Socioeconomic
- 60%Household composition
- 44%Racial/ethnic minority
- 89%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 111Total filings over 2 yrs
- 6.12%Avg annual filing rate
- 7.1%Peak (2006)
- 47Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Niagra Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Niagra Village
What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 7.7/10. It sits 1.2 points above the Mesa County average of 4.5.
Running cool, supply constraint reads 2.6/10. At $942 a month, rents run 18% under what the rest of Grand Junction commands. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 111 filings here across 2 tracked years.
Filings peaked in 2006 at 7.1% of renter households. In a typical year about 6.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 74% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 7.9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.
43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $53,438.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 08077000700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077000700?
Census tract 08077000700 in the Niagra Village neighborhood scores 5.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 08077000700?
Median gross rent is $942/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 08077000700?
16.5% of residents in tract 08077000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,387.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 08077000700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 60th, minority 44th, housing 89th.
Q5
Is tract 08077000700 considered part of Niagra Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08077000700 fall within Niagra Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08077000700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 111 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08077000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.12% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
How does tract 08077000700 compare to Grand Junction overall?
Tract 08077000700 scores 5.7/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction
Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · CO
North Seventh Street National Historic District
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Niagra Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Niagra Village
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
Meeks
6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
08077001304
5.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
North Seventh Street National Historic District
5.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · CO
North Seventh Street National Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · CO
North Seventh Street National Historic District
5.4
/ 10 · Moderate
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