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Neighborhood · Ranked #29,578 of 84,120 nationally

Niagra Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Grand Junction

Tract 08077000700 · Mesa County, CO · pop 4,387 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 08077000700 belongs to the Niagra Village area of Grand Junction, Colorado. It is home to 4,387 residents and scores 4.7/10, a moderate reading for landlords. On the national scale it ranks #25,904 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

About 43% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $942 monthly, set against $53,438 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 44% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.7
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 25% Owners 56%
Tract context
Occupied units2,074
Renter share44.0%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate16.5%
Median income$53,438

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Niagra Village
Very Low
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 19 tracts In Grand Junction
Elevated
Within county
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#9 of 33 tracts In Mesa County
High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#256 of 1,447 tracts In Colorado
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Grand Junction and the region

Centroid at 39.0730, -108.5338 · click any tract to drill in

Why Niagra Village scores 4.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Grand Junction
4.2
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
3.6
State political climate
Colorado legislature & governorship
4.7
Economic stress
16.5% poverty · this tract
4.1
Supply constraint
$942 rent vs county FMR
2.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.1
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Grand Junction
7.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Grand Junction
6.2

How Niagra Village compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Niagra Village risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.74.7This tracttract 000700Grand Junction: 4.34.3Grand Junctionparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.23.2Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 111Total filings over 2 yrs
  • 6.12%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2006)
  • 47Filings in 2008 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Niagra Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Niagra Village

The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 7.7/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Mesa County average of 5.6 and in line with the Colorado statewide average of 5.7. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 77th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 111 eviction filings here over 2 tracked years, with about 6.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 7.1% of renter households in 2006.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 08077000700

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 08077000700?

Census tract 08077000700 in the Niagra Village neighborhood scores 4.7/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 08077000700?

Median gross rent is $942/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 08077000700?

16.5% of residents in tract 08077000700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,387.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 08077000700?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 69th, household 60th, minority 44th, housing 89th.
Q5

Is tract 08077000700 considered part of Niagra Village?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 08077000700 fall within Niagra Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 08077000700?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 111 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 08077000700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 6.12% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2006. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

How does tract 08077000700 compare to Grand Junction overall?

Tract 08077000700 scores 4.7/10, higher than the parent city of Grand Junction at 4.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Grand Junction eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Grand Junction

Top eight tracts in Grand Junction ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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