Neighborhood · New Castle, DE

Midvale Eviction Risk: Lower

1 census tracts · pop 3,574 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 3.2/10 · range 3.2–3.2

Midvale is a black-white neighborhood in New Castle with 1 census tract and a population of 3,574 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 3.2/10 (Lower tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 49% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 31% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $1,272/month sits 27% lower than the New Castle citywide average ($1,739).

Risk score

3.2

Lower

1 tracts · population-weighted

Midvale vs New Castle How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average

% of income on rent

49.4% +109%

New Castle: 23.6%

Average gross rent

$1,272 -27%

New Castle: $1,739

Average HH income

$62,535 -32%

New Castle: $92,565

Poverty rate

12.7% +275%

New Castle: 3.4%

Renter share

40.1% +10%

New Castle: 36.6%

Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Midvale and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 1 tracts span score 3.2–3.2

Why Midvale scores 3.2

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly

State political climate

legislature & governorship · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Regional political climate

County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 6.9–6.9 across tracts

6.9

Local political climate

Parent city governance · Range 7.2–7.2 across tracts

7.2

Rent control risk

49% of income on rent · Range 2.7–2.7 across tracts

2.7

Eviction process difficulty

State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 3.5–3.5 across tracts

3.5

Tenant organizing strength

40% renter households · Range 7.6–7.6 across tracts

7.6

Housing court bias

County bench composition · Range 2.6–2.6 across tracts

2.6

Economic stress

12.7% below poverty line · Range 3.2–3.2 across tracts

3.2

Supply constraint

Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.1–2.1 across tracts

2.1

Risk score comparison

Midvale vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Census tracts

1 tracts in Midvale

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract↕	Score↕	Pop↕	% over 30% on rent↕	Average rent↕
10003016309	3.2	3,574	49%	$1,272

Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 55

Pop-weighted across 1 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile

Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden

Household characteristics 18%ile

Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+

Racial/ethnic minority 75%ile

Hispanic + non-white share of population

Housing & transport 78%ile

Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle

Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab

Court-record eviction history in Midvale

Aggregated across 0 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

1,253Total filings 2020-21
16.3Avg monthly observed
15.0Pre-pandemic baseline
1.09×Ratio to baseline

Pandemic filings ran near baseline. Tracked under Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Tampa, FL).

CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Midvale

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

16.1%Housing insecurity
10.6%Utility shutoff threat
19.2%Food insecurity
16.9%SNAP enrollment
9.8%No health insurance
31.8%Any disability

Frequently asked

About Midvale

What is the eviction-risk score for Midvale?

Midvale scores 3.2/10 (Lower tier) across 1 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.

How does Midvale compare to New Castle overall?

Midvale scores 0.7 points lower than New Castle overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 49% of income on rent vs 24% citywide. Average rent: $1,272 vs $1,739.

What is the average rent in Midvale?

Average gross rent in Midvale is $1,272/month (pop-weighted across 1 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What percentage of Midvale residents are renters?

40% of Midvale households are renter-occupied (vs 37% in New Castle). The neighborhood has 3,574 residents.

Is Midvale a high social-vulnerability area?

Midvale sits in the 55th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (moderately vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.

How safe is Midvale for landlords?

Midvale carries a lower-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (3.2/10). Pop-weighted across 1 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to New Castle as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.

What is the demographic breakdown of Midvale?

Midvale has 4,311 residents (Black-White Neighborhood). Top groups: Black (non-Hispanic) (56.2%), White (non-Hispanic) (30.6%), Hispanic / Latino (12.2%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.

Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Midvale

3.6 Castle Hills 3 tracts · pop 9,659 3.3 Landers Park 2 tracts · pop 8,582 3.2 Riveredge Park 2 tracts · pop 4,881 4.8 Southbridge 2 tracts · pop 4,937 3.2 Castlebar 2 tracts · pop 13,647 3 St. Andrews 2 tracts · pop 15,617

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside New Castle

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Midvale.

3.2 Riveredge Park 2 tracts · pop 4,881 3.6 Castle Hills 3 tracts · pop 9,659 2.8 Duross Heights 1 tracts · pop 5,628 2.3 Rogers Manor 1 tracts · pop 2,105 1.9 New Castle Historic District 1 tracts · pop 2,664

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