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Neighborhood · Ranked #34,332 of 84,120 nationally

Riceland Eviction Risk: Moderate , Gainesville

Tract 12001002220 · Alachua County, FL · pop 2,334 · neighborhood within 1.4 mi

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 12001002220 (the Riceland area of Gainesville, Florida) comes in at 5.3/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 51% of US census tracts.

About 76% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 23% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,848 monthly, set against $82,911 in average yearly household income, roughly 27% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.4
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 14% Stable renters 4% Owners 82%
Tract context
Occupied units977
Renter share18.6%
SVI overall0.42
Poverty rate18.6%
Median income$82,911

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Riceland
Very High
Within parent city
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 38 tracts In Gainesville
Low
Within county
53 th percentile
Rank, 53rd percentileLowHigh
#28 of 58 tracts In Alachua County
Moderate
Within state
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#1,204 of 5,122 tracts In Florida
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Gainesville and the region

Centroid at 29.5902, -82.3962 · click any tract to drill in

Why Riceland scores 4.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Gainesville
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.4
State political climate
Florida legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
18.6% poverty · this tract
4.7
Supply constraint
$1,848 rent vs county FMR
6.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Gainesville
2.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Gainesville
6.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Gainesville
4.0

How Riceland compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Riceland risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.44.4This tracttract 002220Gainesville: 2.92.9Gainesvilleparent cityCounty: 4.44.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.53.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 42

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 312Total filings over 8 yrs
  • 16.50%Avg annual filing rate
  • 37.2%Peak (2014)
  • 25Filings in 2018 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2002 to 2018
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 120010022202002: 5 filings (0.89/100 renter HHs)2012: 52 filings (23.32/100 renter HHs)2013: 40 filings (17.94/100 renter HHs)2014: 83 filings (37.22/100 renter HHs)2015: 56 filings (25.11/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (7.61/100 renter HHs)2017: 30 filings (10.87/100 renter HHs)2018: 25 filings (9.06/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 400% over the past 8 months.

Pandemic-era tracking (2020–2021)

  • 204Total filings 2020-21
  • 2.8Avg monthly (observed)
  • 3.3Pre-pandemic baseline
  • 0.84×Ratio to baseline
Monthly filings 2020–2021 2020-01-01 to 2026-01-01
Monthly eviction filings vs pre-pandemic baseline2020-01-01: 1 filings (0.17× baseline)2020-02-01: 2 filings (0.71× baseline)2020-03-01: 2 filings (1.00× baseline)2020-04-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-05-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2020-06-01: 1 filings (0.30× baseline)2020-07-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2020-08-01: 1 filings (0.30× baseline)2020-09-01: 2 filings (0.46× baseline)2020-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2020-11-01: 1 filings (0.43× baseline)2020-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-01-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2021-02-01: 3 filings (1.06× baseline)2021-03-01: 6 filings (3.00× baseline)2021-04-01: 2 filings (0.71× baseline)2021-05-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2021-06-01: 10 filings (3.00× baseline)2021-07-01: 1 filings (0.24× baseline)2021-08-01: 3 filings (0.90× baseline)2021-09-01: 8 filings (1.85× baseline)2021-10-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2021-11-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2021-12-01: 4 filings (1.50× baseline)2022-01-01: 7 filings (1.17× baseline)2022-02-01: 6 filings (2.12× baseline)2022-03-01: 5 filings (2.50× baseline)2022-04-01: 2 filings (0.71× baseline)2022-05-01: 8 filings (2.29× baseline)2022-06-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2022-07-01: 2 filings (0.48× baseline)2022-08-01: 4 filings (1.20× baseline)2022-09-01: 3 filings (0.69× baseline)2022-10-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2022-11-01: 2 filings (0.86× baseline)2022-12-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-01-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2023-02-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2023-03-01: 3 filings (1.50× baseline)2023-04-01: 4 filings (1.41× baseline)2023-05-01: 4 filings (1.14× baseline)2023-06-01: 2 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-07-01: 3 filings (0.72× baseline)2023-08-01: 2 filings (0.60× baseline)2023-09-01: 3 filings (0.69× baseline)2023-10-01: 4 filings (1.33× baseline)2023-11-01: 4 filings (1.72× baseline)2023-12-01: 3 filings (1.12× baseline)2024-01-01: 3 filings (0.50× baseline)2024-02-01: 3 filings (1.06× baseline)2024-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-04-01: 3 filings (1.06× baseline)2024-05-01: 1 filings (0.29× baseline)2024-06-01: 4 filings (1.20× baseline)2024-07-01: 3 filings (0.72× baseline)2024-08-01: 5 filings (1.50× baseline)2024-09-01: 4 filings (0.92× baseline)2024-10-01: 5 filings (1.67× baseline)2024-11-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2024-12-01: 5 filings (1.87× baseline)2025-01-01: 2 filings (0.33× baseline)2025-02-01: 2 filings (0.71× baseline)2025-03-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-04-01: 1 filings (0.35× baseline)2025-05-01: 2 filings (0.57× baseline)2025-06-01: 3 filings (0.90× baseline)2025-07-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)2025-08-01: 2 filings (0.60× baseline)2025-09-01: 4 filings (0.92× baseline)2025-10-01: 6 filings (2.00× baseline)2025-11-01: 4 filings (1.72× baseline)2025-12-01: 2 filings (0.75× baseline)2026-01-01: 0 filings (0.00× baseline)

Pandemic filings ran below baseline. Eviction Lab tracked Gainesville, FL as part of its 34-metro Eviction Tracking System.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Riceland. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Riceland

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Alachua County average of 4.9 and above the Florida statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is White and Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 42nd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 312 eviction filings here over 8 tracked years, with about 16.5% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 37.2% of renter households in 2014.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 12001002220

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 12001002220?

Census tract 12001002220 in the Riceland neighborhood scores 4.4/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 12001002220?

Median gross rent is $1,848/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 76% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 12001002220?

18.6% of residents in tract 12001002220 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,334.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 12001002220?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 42th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 49th, household 17th, minority 47th, housing 52th.
Q5

Is tract 12001002220 considered part of Riceland?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 12001002220 fall within Riceland (neighborhood centroid within 1.4 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 12001002220?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 312 eviction filings across 8 validated years in tract 12001002220 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 16.50% of renter households, peaking at 37.2% in 2014. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

Did eviction filings in tract 12001002220 drop during COVID?

Pandemic-era filings ran 0.84× the pre-COVID monthly baseline. Filings ran modestly below normal. Tracked by the Eviction Lab Eviction Tracking System (Gainesville eviction risk, FL), 2020-2021.
Q8

How does tract 12001002220 compare to Gainesville overall?

Tract 12001002220 scores 4.4/10, higher than the parent city of Gainesville at 2.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Gainesville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Gainesville

Top eight tracts in Gainesville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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